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Global 4G Service Revenue to Exceed 3G in 2016

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4G connection

4G will overtake 3G technologies in global revenue generation this year, accounting for 49% of revenue from a 25% share of year end subscriptions, according to a new forecast from Strategy Analytics.

The report predicts 4G revenue growth will be offset by a 21% decline in 2G service revenue and 19% decline in 3G revenue in 2016.

Phil Kendall, Executive Director Wireless Operator Strategies says, “the advanced markets of the USA, Japan, and South Korea will see the vast majority of their revenue come from 4G LTE services this year, though China will also make a significant contribution. Overtaking the USA to become the world’s largest 4G market in Q3 2015, China is the envy of other developing markets with over half of its 2016 revenue projected to come from 4G LTE.”

Key findings include:
Wireless service revenue will peak in 2019 at $882 billion, just 3% above the level reached in 2015 as competitive and regulatory pressures undermine growth opportunities from new connected devices.

The 4G share of 2016 service revenue will range from 10% in Middle East & Africa to 79% in North America, with Japan (82%) and South Korea (90%) at similarly high levels.

Starting 2016 with 1.1 billion connections, 4G LTE networks will support 1.9 billion connections by the end of the year, and will grow to 5.6 billion by the end of 2022, 62% of all user-linked wireless subscriptions.

The PwC Mine 2016 Global Report

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PwC

2015 was a race to the bottom with many new records set by the world’s 40 largest mining companies, according to PwC’s annual Mine report released yesterday.

The 13th in PwC’s industry series analysing financial performance and global trends, the report reveals a first ever collective net loss (US$27bn) for the Top 40 miners with market capitalisation falling by 37%, effectively wiping out all the gains made during the commodity super cycle.

Michal Kotzé, Mining Industry Leader for PwC Africa, says: “Last year was undoubtedly challenging for the mining sector. The Top 40 experienced their first ever collective net loss, their lowest return on capital employed, a significant drop in market capitalisation, and an overall decline in liquidity with the result that the Top 40 were more vulnerable and carrying heavier debt loads than in prior years.”

“We are also seeing shareholders persist with a short term focus, impacting the capital available for investment and, as a result, constraining options for growth.

“But this is a hardy industry, and while many miners may be down they are certainly not out.”

The report analysed 40 of the largest listed mining companies by market capitalisation. Four new entrants in this year’s Top 40 were Chinese companies. AngloGold Ashanti has reemerged in the Top 40 for the first time since 2013.

The number of emerging companies included in the Top 40 has increased by two and now totals 19. For the first time, a lithium company has made the Top 40. While this must be viewed in the context of the much larger traditional energy sources, there is no doubt that the energy landscape is changing and new world disrupters will have a role to play.

The financial information for 2015 covers the reporting periods from 1 April 2014 to 31 December 2015, with each company’s results included for the 12-month financial reporting period that falls into this time frame.

Mine 2016 also found:
Investors punished the Top 40 for poor investment and capital management decisions, and in some quarters for squandering the benefits of the boom.

Concerns over the ‘spot mentality’ from shareholders focused on fluctuating commodities prices and short term returns rather than the long term investment horizon required in mining.

A focus on maximising value from shedding assets as well as mothballing marginal projects or curtailing capacity by Top 40 minters. This is further evidenced by a significant drop off in capex signaling an almost stagnant investment environment.

A positive focus on cost reduction resulting in a 17% drop in operating costs against a backdrop of higher production volumes and lower input costs – an impressive achievement given the production increases seen during 2015.

Capital discipline and impairment levels
With a further $53 billion of impairments in 2015, miners have now collectively wiped out the equivalent of 32% of their actual capex since 2010, a stark reminder of the value that has already been lost. This also represents a hefty 77% of this year’s capital expenditure.

“While it is unfair to focus on the charges incurred this year as price assumptions were adjusted down, a longer-term perspective indicates a lack of capital discipline. In fact, from 2010 to 2015, the Top 40 have impaired the equivalent of a staggering 32% of their capex incurred,” adds Andries Rossouw, Assurance Partner, PwC.

China not the industry hero
While China is still critical to the success of the mining industry, accounting for about 40% of overall commodity demand, it can no longer be relied on to supercharge returns.

As the country moves from a manufacturing based economy to a services-based economy the previously rampant demand for commodities will still not resume with the same intensity. Despite this shift, the number of Chinese mining companies in the Top 40 continued to increase from nine to 12.

Debt burdens will mean some heavy lifting ahead
Debt management has moved to the top of the business agenda for many of the Top 40 miners. For some, the driver was maintaining access to capital at reasonable rates. For others, it was simply crucial to survival.

While the Top 40 trimmed a slither of their overall debt in 2015, liquidity metrics have begun to trigger alarms. Leverage is at an all-time high and cash used to repay debt was broadly equal to cash from borrowings. It’s no surprise that the ratings agencies responded with widespread ratings downgrades.

Adds Rossouw: “The response of the Top 4o miners has been twofold: an even greater focus on cutting expenditure, whether operational or expansionary, and an acceleration in asset sales. It will be interesting to see if these efforts can continue and the subsequent knock-on effects.”

While the mining industry continues to face significant challenges and constraints, Rossouw maintains there is still a long-term positive outlook.

“Many of the Top 40 appreciate what is required for the marathon of mining and have their eyes firmly fixed on the long term rewards.”

Nigeria Suspends Action Against Militants in Niger-Delta

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Militants

There are strong indications that the Nigerian Government has suspended military action against militants in the Niger-Delta region to pave way for dialogue.

Mr. Ibe Kachikwu, the Minister of State for Petroleum told reporters in Abuja yesterday evening that the move, which would last for two weeks, is to encourage dialogue between the government and the militants.

It would be recalled that a militant group, Niger-Delta Avengers were alleged to have blown up several oil pipelines belonging to major oil firms in the region, thereby reducing the country’s oil output and export.

IMF: Critical Economic Time for Nigeria

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IMF

This is a critical moment for sub-Saharan Africa, which faces slowing growth, but with the right policies many countries in the region are well positioned to ride out the storm, according to the latest issue of the IMF’s quarterly magazine, Finance & Development (F&D).

After 10 years of unprecedented growth, which helped fuel a positive Africa Rising narrative, the outlook for sub-Saharan Africa is dimming. The region suffered a sharp slowdown, owing to slumping commodity prices and softer global economic conditions.

Natural resource producers such as Nigeria, Angola, South Africa, and Mozambique have been hard hit. Drought has struck in some countries. And China—now a major trade and business partner in a number of African countries—is slowing as it retools its economy, sparking fears of further weakening.

More than commodities
Georgetown University Professor, Steven Radelet writes in F&D’s cover story about the changes that leave Africa better positioned to handle the downturn in the region.

Marked improvements in governance, the emergence of more adroit leaders and economic managers, and better economic and social policies are a solid foundation for future growth. Although growth is likely to slow in the next few years, he says, the long-term outlook is solid for countries that diversify their economies, increase competitiveness, and further strengthen their institutions of governance.

Antoinette Sayeh, Head of the IMF’s African Department, sounds a similar note in her Straight Talk column, arguing that the underlying drivers of growth over the past decade still persist and that a reset of monetary and fiscal policies can help reignite sustainable growth in the region.

New growth opportunities
Other articles in the Africa cover package look at sources of future growth. Former governor of the Central Bank of Kenya Njuguna Ndung’u, Kenya School of Monetary Studies Professor, Lydia Ndirangu, and the IMF’s Armando Morales document the positive impact of digital technologies on access to financing in many African countries. The United Nations’ Carlos Lopes shows how regional economic agreements can foster closer business ties.

IMF economists, Christine Dieterich, Dalia Hakura, and Monique Newiak explain how gender equality can boost growth in sub-Saharan Africa.

The magazine also looks at a sector that exemplifies Africa’s growing influence and economic energy: Nigeria’s film industry, or “Nollywood,” one of the world’s largest film industries in terms of number of films produced.

Travelstart Appoints Åkesson, Country Manager, Nigeria

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Travelstart has announced the hiring of Philip Åkesson as Country Manager for Nigeria, effective 1 June, 2016.

Philip will be based at Travelstart Nigeria’s office in Lagos taking over the reins from Andre Van Straaten who has held the dual positions of International Markets Project Manager and Country Manager. Under Philip’s leadership, Andre will continue to manage strategic relationships with suppliers in West Africa.

Philip will be responsible for overseeing commercial and operational strategies for Travelstart Nigeria and spearheading initiatives to grow the brand across the region.

Travelstart CEO, Stephan Ekbergh said: “Philip brings a wealth of experience and we are delighted to welcome him to the Travelstart Nigeria team. As an ecommerce business leader he will be an asset to Travelstart and will bring a depth of practical knowledge that our customers and partners will benefit from.”

A Stockholm School of Economics alumni, Philip was previously a founding member of Konga.com which in only a few years rapidly grew to become one of Africa’s largest online marketplaces.

At Konga, Philip took on various roles ranging from operations, strategy, investor communications, business intelligence and strategic partnerships which equipped him with a goldmine of commercial and online expertise in the region.

Åkesson commented: “I am excited to start a new challenge within the Travelstart group and look forward to working with the team to expand its presence across verticals in the region, leveraging my experience in the local ecommerce space.”

Nigeria’s 1st Venture Capital Summit Now Aug. 2

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WHO Meeting in progress

A new date of 2nd- 4th August, 2016 has been announced for the maiden Venture Capital Advocacy Summit at Eko Hotel, Lagos, Nigeria, that will bring together all the critical elements that could facilitate the entrenchment of the venture capital culture in the country.

According to a statement by Alfe City Company Limited, the organisers, the change of date from the initial 28th and 30th June was to allow all stakeholders adequate time to fulfil their obligations and preparation for a successful event.

“All other elements of the Venture Capital Advocacy Summit remain as previously stated,” the statement said.

The Summit with the theme: ‘Venture Capital and Capacity Development of a New Nigeria Economy’ with the support of the Senate Committee on Trade & Investment and the House Committee on Commerce will feature the maiden introduction of the concept of venture capital and provide an opportunity for interaction with international experts and seasoned investors in what would be the first of its kind gathering in Nigeria.

According to Mr Soji Adeleye, Chief Executive Officer, Alfe City Company Limited, the endorsement of the summit by the National Assembly was crucial as the entrenchment of the Venture Capital culture in Nigeria would require legislative underpinning to guarantee the safety of investment of investors.

Senator Fatimat Raji Rasaki, Chairman, Senate Committee on Trade and Investment said: “We share the principle and objectives behind this very laudable programme and commend it to all stakeholders across the country.

“We hereby convey our commitment to work with you and other stakeholders for the success of the summit and subsequently perform our legislative responsibility to ensure a successful entrenchment of venture capitalism culture in Nigeria.”

Similarly, the Chairman, House of Representatives Committee on Commerce, Rt Hon Sylvester Ogbaga said the committee considered the summit’s objectives as very laudable.

“I wish to therefore convey the decision of the committee to collaborate with Alfe City Company Limited in that regard,” he said.

The summit objectives include:

· Advocate and spearhead the culture of venture capitalism in Nigeria;

· Open an avenue for translating Nigerians’ legendry creativity and entrepreneurship to vital economic power;

· Bring all stakeholders together to highlight how venture capital could be the missing link in Nigeria’s struggle to build a diverse and sustainable economy;

· Establish a Register for practicing and prospective venture capital operators in Nigeria;

· Create the machinery for an annual venture capital event as a vehicle for entrenching the culture of venture capitalism in Nigeria.

E/Guinea Launches 2016 Oil, Gas Licensing Round

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Equatorial Guinea’s Ministry of Mines, Industry and Energy (MMIE) has launched the country’s latest oil and gas blocks licensing round, EG Ronda 2016 at the Africa Oil & Power conference.

Companies are now able to submit letters of interest to the Ministry, and to view the official map of available blocks.

The MMIE intends to build upon Equatorial Guinea’s strong reputation for exploration success by inviting oil and gas companies with the requisite financial and technical competency to explore its blocks. A total of 114 discoveries have been made in the country to date, with 48 resulting in discoveries. The discovery success rate of 42 percent is double the global average.

Equatorial Guinea is pushing ahead to develop energy infrastructure, including storage, petrochemicals and floating LNG, which will support and incentivize further exploration and production.

Minister of Mines, Industry and Energy H.E. Gabriel Mbaga Obiang Lima said: “Our nation is a proven profitable home for global oil and gas companies that explore our waters, and now we look forward to meeting potential explorers at roadshow events worldwide in 2016.”

The EG Ronda 2016 makes available all acreages not currently operated or under direct negotiation. This comprises 37 blocks in total, 32 of them offshore. This includes Block A-12, newly relinquished by Marathon Oil, which has hosted multiple oil discoveries. Also open is the former EG-05 block which was once operated by Glencore plc. EG-05 was then split into four prospective offshore licenses which have never been drilled.

The MMIE will publicise the bidding round at events in London on June 20 during the Africa Assembly; in Singapore

September 20-23; in Istanbul during the World Energy Congress October 9-13; and the last event in Houston in November.

The bidding concludes November 30.

Paramount Unveils Armoured Vehicle for Global Defence Market

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Paramount Group, the African-based global defence and aerospace company, unveiled a new generation 8×8 (eight wheeled) armoured vehicle in Astana, during the annual Kazakhstan Defence Exhibition.

The technologically superior Mbombe 8 infantry combat vehicle represents the pinnacle of land system innovation; it was designed to meet the world-wide demand for sophisticated and affordable military equipment that provides unrivalled protection for land forces personnel, in an era of unprecedented asymmetrical threats and conflict.

Paramount Group has been responsible for the development and production of a broad range of advanced armoured and mine protected vehicles that are in operation around the world. As such, the Mbombe 8 is at the vanguard of armoured vehicle technologies.

It has been designed and developed to meet the increasing demand for multi-role, high mobility, and mine hardened platforms, providing a solution to the ever-changing demands of the global battlefield.

“This is a momentous occasion in the evolution of the Paramount Group’s offering, and we are very excited to develop this high speed, long-range, and low profile 8×8 armoured vehicle,” says Founder and Executive Chairman of Paramount Group, Ivor Ichikowitz.

“In less than a decade, Paramount has designed, developed, and industrialised an armoured vehicle nearly every two years. We have built a reputation for pushing the boundaries and pioneering armoured vehicles that are groundbreaking in their design, protection levels, and mobility, without exception.”

Ben Jansen, CEO of Paramount’s armoured vehicle business said: “The Mbombe 8 is world-leading in its class, this is a product that we are very proud of. We pioneered mine-resistant flat floor technology which is central to the design of the new 8×8 platform. The development of Mbombe 8 has enabled Paramount Group to provide potential customers with a complete family of 4 x 4, 6 x 6 and 8 x 8 AFVs which share over 80% of common components to reduce through life costs and make for easier training and logistics. This presents a unique opportunity for the global market, affording a prospective end-user of all three vehicles significant savings in the areas of maintenance and logistical support.”

The Mbombe 8 is based on the design of the Paramount Group’s Mbombe 6 – an infantry combat vehicle that employs an inventive new form of provide unprecedented levels of protection, while keeping its profile to a minimum. The Mbombe 8 also draws on the Paramount Group’s experience of designing the highly effective and battle-tested Marauder and Matador mine-resistant vehicles.

This highly advanced and comprehensive vehicle addresses the threats and operational requirements that are unique to the Commonwealth of Independent States region, and represents the innovation and transfer of technology at the heart of the strategic industrial partnership between Paramount Group and its partners in Kazakhstan Paramount Engineering.

Key features of the Mbombe 8 include:

· Gross weight of 28 tonnes and kerb weight of 19 tonnes

· Payload of 9 tonnes

· Max speed of 110km/h

· Operating range: 800 km

· High levels of ballistic and mine protection: ballistic protection: STANAG 4569 Level 3+ and blast protection: STANAG 4569 Level 4a and 4b

· The cooling systems and driveline have been tested and proven in winter conditions of -55 Celsius and desert conditions of +55 Celsius

The first advanced prototype of the Mbombe 8 will soon start extensive mobility trails, and production will be undertaken in South Africa and Kazakhstan.

“South Africa has been leading the world in armoured vehicle and land mine protected technologies for decades. We have a truly remarkable skills base; we are home to some of the best engineers in the world, who have developed technologies that are used globally to save lives daily,” concluded Ichikowitz.

Qatar Airways Cancels $5.3bn Airbus A320 Order over Delays

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Qatar airlines

Qatar Airways has canceled the delivery of the first Airbus A320 aircraft over delays caused by engine problems.

Qatar Airways had ordered 50 A320neo-family aircraft for $5.3 billion in 2011 and was to receive the first one last October.

However, the aircraft faced software and hydraulics problems and the carrier’s CEO, Akbar Al Baker expressed his discontent about A320neo PW1100G engines, stating that they were not properly tested for high temperatures in the Gulf region. The problems led to months of delays and Akbar Al Baker claimed that Qatar Airways was allowed to invoke the cancellation cause.

Akbar Al Baker claimed that Qatar Airways should have had 5 A320neos in service by this summer. As a result of the delays, it was forced to reduce flight frequency of 15 routes to Boston, Houston and Miami among others. The company’s CEO stated: “It is making a huge impact on my bottom line. We are, quite frankly, screaming.”

The only way for the airline to fulfil the commitments to their customers is to lease. “We will have no alternative but to lease. We are awaiting final response from Airbus,” said Akbar Al Baker. We are not talking about compensation. It is about us getting planes so we can meet network requirement.”

Akbar Al Baker also claimed that the airline could walk away from more orders of Airbus A320 neo. However, he still expects that plane manufacturer will be able to deliver 10 of the larger A350 airplane by the end of calendar year.

G2O Nations Jeopardise Energy Transition

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g20

The G20 nations are at risk of falling short of the climate goals they set in Paris in December 2015. The reason: a growing gap between current investments in renewable energy sources (2015: $286 billion worldwide) and future needs.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects the need at $790 billion a year as early as 2020, and $2300 billion per year by 2035.

Analyses by the Allianz Climate & Energy Monitor place the blame on inadequate or nonexistent climate strategies, together with their deficient implementation in the energy sector.

“If the G20 countries don’t have a sufficiently comprehensive strategy for the energy transition, they won’t just fall short of their climate goals,” explains Karsten Löffler, Managing Director at Allianz Climate Solutions.

“In the longer term, they’ll also put their competitiveness at risk because they’ll be so late in changing direction in the necessary technologies and infrastructures. Waiting will result in stranded investments and extra costs.”

South Africa’s Investment Needs
South Africa together with India and Indonesia, China and Brazil will need to bridge 50% of this investment gap – having the highest investment needs – owing to their market size and development needs. This percentage increases when the overall vulnerability of their power infrastructures to the impact of climate change is taken into account.

“South Africa along with the mentioned countries nevertheless has an insufficient investment framework. To attract substantial private investment, stringent and long-term policy action will be required. Absolute investment needs are approximately $14 billion per year, up to 2035.

The country still has a significant share of its population without electricity access (15%), creating additional investment needs.

Though stakeholders generally apprehend the importance of decarbonising the country’s electricity sector, progress has been slow in the past and fossil fuel lobby groups dominate the public debate,” says Löffler.

Germany and UK in the Lead
So far, Germany and the UK are the only G20 states that have a concrete strategy for an emission-free energy sector, including converting their power grids. They offer the most attractive conditions for investors, followed by France and China.

But even here, there’s a threat of a massive shortfall in investment. “It’s surprising that none of the G20 countries offers sufficient conditions for investors. All of them will have to up the ante,” says Niklas Höhne, Founding Partner of the New Climate Institute and co-author of the Monitor.

As a leading investor in renewable energy, Allianz is prepared to support the energy transition with even more investment. At present, Allianz’s total investment in renewable energy comes to EUR 3 billion. “Demand from private investors is substantially greater than supply,” says Axel Zehren, CFO at Allianz Investment Management.

“To adjust supply to the actual need for investments, it will be essential to rethink conventional assumptions. Almost every G20 state still places unnecessary restrictions on commitments by private investors, or fails to offer adequate legal safeguards, for example when they change terms retroactively.” According to the OECD, another impediment for institutional investors is the European Union’s unbundling regulations, which prohibit investing in energy generators and energy grids simultaneously. Yet the potential advantages to countries are not just financial. “As experts in risk management, we are in a better position to help manage investment plans and project risks,” Zehren points out.

85% from Private Investors
Energy production and energy consumption are the biggest sources of emissions. If global warming is to be limited to 1.5 degrees Celsius, this need to become emission-free by 2055; to limit the increase to 2 degrees, emission-free energy must be achieved by 2080.

For that, it will be essential to change the system in the power sector. In spite of the high initial investments involved, the transformation can be achieved at neutral cost, as analyses by the IEA in 2015 and by Allianz in 2014 have shown. That’s because the cost of coal, oil and natural gas will gradually be eliminated.

Private investors will have to supply 85 percent of this investment, according to the UN’s Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Insurers are especially desirable here, as well-capitalised investors with a long-term investment horizon and suitable expertise in risk management. Viewed from the opposite direction, these investments are well suited for the insurers’ long-term liabilities to their life insurance clients.

The Allianz Climate and Energy Monitor
The Allianz Climate and Energy Monitor measures the need for investment for an energy transition among the world’s most important 19 countries (the G20 includes these 19 countries plus the EU), and ranks them on their attractiveness as potential destinations for investments in low-carbon electricity infrastructure.

Whether and where investors will provide funds depends on a reliable climate and energy strategy in the country concerned, as well as on specific, transparent support mechanisms, fair competition with fossil energy sources, the influence of contrary lobbies, and market experience with renewable energy. These are in addition to general factors like inflation, an openness to foreign investors, and legal certainty.

How Buhari Recovered $10.3bn Looted Funds in 1 Year

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Buhari

Nigeria has seized more than $10.3 billion in looted cash and assets in the past year under President Muhammadu Buhari’s anti-corruption campaign, the West African country’s information minister said.

In addition, the government is expecting the repatriation of more than $330 million stolen from the public treasury and stashed in banks abroad, Lai Mohammed said in a statement on Saturday. He said most of the money is in Switzerland.

According to Al Jazeera report, Mohammed did not identify former and current officials accused of looting public funds, though the government had promised to publish them.

The minister did not say how much of the money has been returned voluntarily by former officials hoping for forgiveness or a plea bargain.

He said the funds include $583.5 million recovered in cash and $9.7 billion in cash and assets under interim forfeiture including sea-going vessels, buildings and land.

Hundreds of people have been arrested and many court trials are on-going, including that of retired Colonel Sambo Dasuki, who was former President Goodluck Jonathan’s National Security Adviser.

Dasuki is accused of diverting $2.1billion meant to fight the Boko Haram armed group.

Jonathan instructed that the money be paid to bribe party officials to help him win his party’s presidential nomination, Dasuki has told the court.

Jonathan lost the March 2015 elections to Buhari, who succeeded him a year ago and said he inherited state coffers emptied by massive corruption.

Dasuki’s financial director, Shuaibu Salisu, told the court that $47 million in cash was stuffed into 11 suitcases and taken at night from the Central Bank of Nigeria to Dasuki’s residence.

ADB, Partners Mobilise $3OOm for Women

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African Development Bank Group meeting in Lusaka, Zambia.

Three women each with a large basket full of fresh fruits, sat under the shade of a wide signpost just outside the main gate of Mulungushi International Conference Centre where the 51st Annual Meetings of the African Development Bank held.

Apart from being aware of the presence of an unusually large number of foreign guests in their city, it’s unlikely that the three women outside the Mulungushi gate knew what business the delegates are discussing in the meetings.

It is a few minutes past noon on Wednesday, May 25, Day 3 of the Annual Meetings and a particularly interesting session has just ended. It was about the AfDB’s new program “Affirmative Finance Action for Women in Africa (AFAWA).”

The session attracted a full house, a veritable Who’s Who among Africa’s prominent and successful women seated both on the panel and in the audience; nonetheless, they were there to talk about affirmative action.

For whom? Perhaps the three women outside the Mulungushi? Those women are present across Africa-struggling to raise money through running small informal businesses, amidst challenges of raising capital to grow their enterprises.

The moderator, Nicholas Norbrook, from the Paris-based publication, The Africa Report, invited Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi the AfDB’s Special Envoy on Gender, to take the floor and set the stage for the discussions.

“AFAWA,” Fraser-Moleketi announced, “is a new program of the AfDB, to demonstrate the Bank’s commitment to advancing the Gender Equality Agenda by, in particular, addressing the challenges that women face in an attempt to access finance.”

In AFAWA, Fraser-Moleketi will lead the AfDB efforts to engage its partners in mobilizing funding of up to US $300 million to finance African women.

The full objective is to run a US $3-billion fund that will be available through the AfDB’s non-concessional window and channeled to worthy women through intermediary institutions.

With that, AFAWA will help address the financing gaps estimated to be over US $30 billion that currently exist with respect to women’s access to finance.

Daunting statistics
There’s more daunting statistics availed by studies on the subject. They indicate that only 16 to 20 percent of women in Sub-Saharan Africa are able to access long-term financing from formal financial institutions.

They also show that although women-owned business enterprises account for only 25 percent of all businesses in Sub-Saharan Africa, the median capital available to male entrepreneurs is more than twice that of women is some of Africa’s largest economies, including Nigeria and Kenya.

It is a situation that varies from one country to another. For instance in Kenya, despite women owning 48 percent of the micro and small enterprises, they access only 7 percent of the credit.

A 2011 study by the International Finance Corporation found that three to four million formal women-owned enterprises had an estimated total financing gap between US $21 billion and US $26 billion.

These are some of the daunting statistics that inspired the establishment of AFAWA.

So do women need affirmative action to fill their financing gap?

A quick vote by show of hands found that majority of those in the room believed affirmative action is needed, but the room wasn’t short of those that thought otherwise. Deeper insight into the matter was provided by a high-level panel that had four women and two gentlemen.

They included Sahar Nasr, Egypt’s Minister of International Cooperation; Jennifer Riria, Group Executive Officer for Kenya Women; Ngozi Okonjo-lweala, Nigeria’s former Finance Minister; Marisa Lago from the US Treasury; Ashish Thakkar, Founder Mara Group and Mara Foundation; and Admassu Tadesse, President and CEO of PTA Bank.

In principle, the panel agreed that while affirmative action is needed in certain areas such as legal framework, women actually don’t need special treatment but rather equal treatment in facilitating them to access finances in their respective countries.

According to Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Africa has one of the world’s highest female labour participation rates at about 63 percent compared to 50.3 percent globally which goes to show how women are very active in the African economies.

“If we have women who are very active but they don’t have access to something that can make them more productive in the economies, then we are missing something,” she argued, adding that the actual value added by women in African economies is undervalued which breeds the negative perception that they don’t play a major role.

Okonjo-Iweala said there’s need to invest in data, citing the recent ‘Women Deliver Conference’ in Copenhagen, where the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation announced an US $80-million fund to invest in collecting data of the value added by women.

“The AfDB should add a data component to AFAWA and seek partnership with the Gates Foundation,” she advised.

Ashish Thakkar made a case for mentorship and backed the need to invest in data, noting that there is a huge bias against young female entrepreneurs.

Thakkar, who runs a mentorship program for young African entrepreneurs, said his foundation currently supports more than 850, 000 young people in Nigeria, South Africa, Ghana and just recently in Zambia. Fifty percent of those young people are women.

“Women are extremely competent; they are more reliable than men in terms of finance and I have never heard women seek special treatment, nor do I think they need it. What they need and deserve is a level playing field for both men and women,” he said.

Egyptian Minister Sahar Nasr argued that there’s a misguided perception that women are high-risk customers to lend but that data shows the opposite, with women having their non-performing loans lower than those of men across the globe.

She called for affirmative action in the area of legal and regulatory framework because African tradition stands in the way of most women to own property, which limits their access to finance efforts as they don’t have collateral.

“Also, to avoid distortion in the finance sector, we need to avoid using the term ‘affirmative action’ and use a more inclusive term such as ‘diversification.’ What women need is equal opportunity but not special treatment,” she said.

Marisa Lago added a US perspective to the conversation noting that those who want to help women need to take a step back and learn how women use money.

“It is not enough to make money work for women. We must make the entire finance system work for them. That calls for increased access to financial services,” she said, and quickly reemphasized the need for reform of the legal regulatory framework.

All panelists agreed that African Central Banks have a central role to play in reforming legal and regulatory frameworks and remove barriers that play against women.

A more radical view came from Kenya’s Jennifer Riria, who said women activists have talked so much but done so little over the years. She called for action backed by clear KPIs to be able to measure the walk against the talk.

“After all the speeches by these clever people I don’t know what to say other than the truth. I come from 26 years of working with low-income Kenyan women, now three million in number.

“From UN conferences in 1975, to Beijing in 1995 to today, we have had meetings like this; we shall continue talking and talking, but we are like a team that gets to the pitch, half the team plays and the other half does nothing. This is what we have done over the years,” she said.

Last to speak on the panel was PTA’s Admassu Tadesse. He said his institution appreciates the constraints of finance by SMEs especially those owned by women and pledged to work together with AfDB’s AFAWA to address the challenges.

“I agree with what everyone has said. The analysis is first class. The real issue now is execution and the AfDB, through AFAWA, has done excellent work to bring out the issue in such a clear way,” he said.

As the debate raged, the President of the AfDB, Akinwumi Adesina walked in and added his voice on why AFAWA was an important initiative of the Bank.

Adesina explained that the success of the AfDB’s High 5s depends on what is done, first, for women.
“When women are supported, they deliver. When you empower women, everything changes. When women win, Africa wins. About 97 percent of women pay back their loans and the 3 percent are stopped by husbands on their way to pay,” he said.

Is OPEC Dead?

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OPEC is ‘finished’ as cartel hands control of oil to markets.

OPEC which failed last week to reach an accord to stabilise oil prices, is a dysfunctional organisation that has outlived its usefulness, analysts declared.

At its meeting in Vienna , the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries failed to agree on a new production ceiling and therefore did not change its oil output policy. The cartel has been pumping oil at record levels despite the drop in global crude prices that began in 2014.

“OPEC is finished. OPEC is over,” Oppenheimer Senior Energy Analyst, Fadel Gheit said in an interview with CNBC’s “Power Lunch .”

“Shale production has completely changed the way we look at energy and it’s not going to change. The fact of the matter is that OPEC and Saudi Arabia are no longer the swing producers they were only two years ago.”

The OPEC meeting was the second high-profile policy failure in nearly as many months. In April, a summit in Doha between some of the largest oil producing economies also failed to reach a deal on setting output. The news reverberated through world markets, and left oil watchers looking for clarity provided by the OPEC meeting—which also ultimately disappointed.

The meeting’s outcome “reinforces the fact that control of the market has been handed to the market itself,” said Daniel Yergin, Vice-Chairman of IHS and a top energy expert.

Although prices have rallied in recent months, they remain well below the $100 level crude had enjoyed before the rout.

Now, “the market will dictate where oil prices will be,” said Gheit. He thinks the “new normal” for crude will be $60-$65 per barrel. He predicts that will happen in the next six to 12 months.

Those who think it will get to $80, $90 or $100 are barrel are “delusional,” he added.

Gheit believes U.S. exploration and production companies will be the best-performing stocks going forward. That’s because when oil prices crashed, they got creative in cutting costs and improving operating efficiency. Therefore, the break-even point for those companies has gone down.

“Higher oil prices will create [a] profitable environment at $60-$65 oil,” he said. “Only two years ago, you needed $80, $85 to $90 oil.”

— Michelle Fox

Africa, Middle East PC Market Declines 26% in 1st Qtr

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The Middle East and Africa (MEA) PC market experienced a 25.9% year-on-year decline in shipments in the first quarter 2016, according to global technology research and consulting firm International Data Corporation (IDC).

Shipments to the region fell for the fourth consecutive quarter, to total 3.2 million units. Notebooks recorded a sharp 28.7% decline in shipments to total 1.9 million units, while desktop shipments registered a comparatively slower decline, falling by 21.4% year on year to total 1.3 million units.

“All the largest markets in the region declined in Q1 2016,” says Senior Research Manager, Fouad Charakla, Personal Computing, Systems, and Infrastructure Solutions, IDC Middle East, Africa, and Turkey.

“The reasons differ from country to country, but slowdowns in tourist spending, lower consumer confidence resulting from low oil prices, political and economic instability, currency devaluations, and military conflicts have all played a part in the regional contraction. The on-going shift in end-user spending toward smartphones and, to a lesser extent, tablets in the consumer segment was also a key element in the market’s decline.”

Similar to previous quarters, the positions of the top three vendors remained unchanged in Q1 2016. Despite experiencing a year-on-year decline of 23.4% in shipments, HP remained the market leader, securing the highest market share ever attained by a PC vendor in the region over the past 10 years. Second-placed Lenovo registered a slightly deeper year-on-year decline of 25.2%, while third-placed Dell suffered the sharpest decline of all vendors, recording a 28.9% fall in shipments.

Meanwhile, fourth-ranked Acer was the only vendor to experience growth in the region, with a 2.2% year-on-year increase in shipments.

However, the gap in terms of the market share of the top four vendors remains significant. In fifth place, Asus suffered a year-on-year decline of 7.3% in shipments during the first quarter of the year.

“With the approach of the holy month of Ramadan combined with the usual summer slowdown in activity, the second quarter of 2016 is also expected to record a decline in shipments, albeit a much softer one,” continues Charakla.

“In the longer term, the PC market is expected to recover to some extent in 2017, with modest growth anticipated in the following years. Shipments to Africa are expected to grow slightly faster than shipments to the Middle East. Some substantial desktop orders were secured by local brands in Egypt and Algeria during Q1 2016, and there were also a number of large education sector deliveries that took place in smaller African markets during the quarter, such as in Rwanda, Burkina Faso, and Ivory Coast.”

As highlighted in IDC’s previous forecasts, there will continue to be a gradual shift in the pattern of demand from consumers to commercial customers, as a growing proportion of home users switch from PCs to tablets and smartphones, while commercial end users retain a stronger loyalty to PCs.

The only exception to this trend will be the education sector, where commercial users will transition from PCs to tablets at a much faster rate. Despite this anomaly, commercial demand for PCs in the region is expected to surpass that of home users by 2018.

About IDC
International Data Corporation (IDC) is the premier global provider of market intelligence, advisory services, and events for the information technology, telecommunications, and consumer technology markets.

With more than 1,100 analysts worldwide, IDC offers global, regional, and local expertise on technology and industry opportunities and trends in over 110 countries.

IDC’s analysis and insight helps IT professionals, business executives, and the investment community to make fact-based technology decisions and to achieve their key business objectives.

Founded in 1964, IDC is a subsidiary of IDG, the world’s leading technology media, research and events company.

IDC in the Middle East, Africa, and Turkey
For the Middle East, Africa, and Turkey region, IDC retains a co-ordinated network of offices in Riyadh, Casablanca, Nairobi, Lagos, Johannesburg, Cairo, and Istanbul, with a regional center in Dubai.

Our coverage couples local insight with an international perspective to provide a comprehensive understanding of markets in these dynamic regions. Our market intelligence services are unparalleled in depth, consistency, scope, and accuracy.

IDC Middle East, Africa, and Turkey currently fields over 130 analysts, consultants, and conference associates across the region.

ATCON: ‘No Comment’ on $3. 9bn NCC, MTN Saga

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The Association of Telecommunications Companies of Nigeria [ATCON] has declined to comment on whether MTN Nigeria should pay the $3. 9 billion fine imposed on it by the Nigerian Communications Commission [NCC] or refuse to pay.

Mr. Olusola Teniola, President of ATCON, said in Lagos yesterday that he has ‘No Comment’ on the issue of payment of the fine.

Rather, he said the official position of ATCON is for continous consultation and dialogue between the NCC and MTN Nigeria and other relevant stakeholders to settle the matter amicably.

“Our position is that consultation and dialogue are crucial in resolving all contending issues. ATCON supports our members to operate optimally and we also have our Code of Conduct guiding our members.”

Teniola lamented that most rich Nigerians do not invest in the Information & Communications Technology [ICT] sector in the country.

He said the sector is being driven largely by foreign investment, rather than local funds.

He listed some of the challenges facing the sector as multiple taxation, multiple regulation and foreign exchange hiccups.

He appealed to the Federal Government to declare the ICT industry as priority area in terms of accessing forex at official rate to support robust growth of the sector.