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e-Dividend: SEC Assures Investors on N8Obn Unclaimed Dividend

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Nigeria SEC

Determined to eradicate the incidence of unclaimed dividends in the capital market, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) organised a week-long e-dividend enlightenment campaign in Lagos to sensitise community leaders, market women, artisans, traders, workers, students and other category of investors on the need to embrace its recently introduced e-dividend platform.

Welcoming participants to the town hall meeting, the Director-General of SEC, Mounir Gwarzo, said the introduction of e-dividend is one of the several initiatives by the regulator aimed at encouraging better participation in the capital market by retail investors. He said the issue of unclaimed dividend has become a thorny one, which has negatively impacted investor confidence.

“Our approach is to identify what the issues are in the market and address them. If you meet any retail investor, they will tell you that for the last five years, dividend has been paid but that they cannot collect the money,” Gwarzo said. “So, we introduced the e-dividend platform to address the unclaimed dividend challenges.”

According to him, the process of claiming dividend by retail investors has become so cumbersome and expensive such that investors would rather abandon the claims. He said that as of today, the unclaimed dividend figure is in the region of N70-N80 billion, while the e-dividend platform was therefore introduced to help streamline the process of dividend claims and payment and make it seamless and cost effective.

“Most times when companies declare dividends, the warrants are sent to the postal or home addresses of investors, who often times get these warrants late or not at all. Imagine somebody who lives in Iyana Ipaja, for instance, it will probably cost him about N5,000 to claim a N2,000 dividend, when you factor in transportation to and from the post office, to the registrars for revalidation, if he gets his warrant late, and then to the bank to lodge the warrant. This discourages such investors from claiming the dividend,” Gwarzo said.

“The essence of the road shows and town hall meetings is to sensitize investors on the need to embrace the e-dividend platform. The e-dividend platform, we believe, will help restore confidence in and deepen the market through increased local participation.”

The e-dividend sensitisation campaign commenced in Abuja some weeks ago, with Gwarzo promising further campaigns across the geo-political zones of the country.

The SEC had in July 2015, in collaboration with the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS) and the Central Bank of Nigeria [CBN] launched the e-payment platform in the capital market and advised investors to obtain the e-dividend mandate form from their banks and registrars for immediate processing and upload to the e-Dividend Mandate Management System (e-DMMS).

By Blessing Ikeme

New UN, UNDP Resident Representative, Samoura, Promises Full Support to Nigeria

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Samoura

United Nations (UN) Resident Co-ordinator and United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Resident Representative in Nigeria, Ms. Fatma Samoura, has presented her Letters of Credence to the Federal Republic of Nigeria through Hon. Geoffrey Onyeama, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

As outlined in paragraph 34 of the Annex to the General Assembly resolution 32/197 of 20 December 1977, Ms. Samoura, on behalf of the UN system, will have overall responsibility and exercise team leadership for the co-ordination of operational activities for development in Nigeria.

During the presentation ceremony, Ms. Samoura highlighted the challenges faced by the national authorities, especially in addressing poverty and responding to the development and humanitarian needs of the North Eastern parts of the Nigeria.

She pledged full support to the people and government of Africa’s largest economy in efforts aimed at meeting both short and long term development goals, including achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

She promised the commitment of the over 19 UN Agencies, Funds and Programmes in the country to work closely with the Government and other partners in implementing the national development agenda, and to intensify efforts that will sustain development advances the country has so far made.

The UN Ambassador also used the occasion to commend the Government of Nigeria for the ongoing rehabilitation of the UN House and pleaded for its speedy completion, adding that this would enhance operational efficiency and facilitate even more effective support to the government and people of Nigeria.

Onyeama assured the UN Ambassador and the UN system in Nigeria of an unparalleled support of the Ministry and Government to the mission of the UN and committed to helping address all operational bottlenecks to enable the UN system operate even more effectively and efficiently.

Samoura, a Senegalese national, comes to Nigeria with rich experience. Before her appointment (2010-2015), she was UN Resident Coordinator and UNDP Resident Representative for the Republic of Madagascar. She has over 20 years’ experience in the UN system having held leadership positions including; Country Director and Representative, Guinea, (2009-2010);

Representative and Country Director, Cameroon, (2005-2007); Representative and Country Director, Djibouti, (2000-2005) and Senior Logistics Officer, Italy (1995-2000).

During her tenure with WFP, Ms. Samora was seconded to the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs in Chad from 2007-2009. Before joining the UN, she worked in the private sector and has travelled extensively in Africa and beyond. She speaks English, French and Spanish.

AstraZeneca Unveils Ambitious Plan to Expand in Africa

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AstraZeneca

British pharmaceutical laboratory AstraZeneca Plc just launched an expansion plan in Africa that aims to boost drugs sales by 10% a year, by focusing on non-communicable diseases, Bloomberg reported on January 10th citing one of the firm’s officials.

AstraZeneca, who already has a plant that manufactures drugs to treat high-blood pressure and cholesterol in Egypt, plans to build another one in Algeria.

“Construction is about to start on a manufacturing plant in Algeria,” said the company’s vice-president for the Middle East and Africa, Tarek Rabah, adding that this infrastructure would cost “tens of millions of dollars”. It should manufacture drugs to treat cardiovascular diseases, cancer and diabetes.

On February 3, 2016, AstraZeneca signed an agreement with the Ethiopian ministry of health to screen for high-blood pressure after a similar initiative in Kenya in October 2014 where more than 150,000 people were diagnosed with the condition.

“While the health-care industry focus in Africa has been on combating communicable diseases like malaria, action needs to be taken to tackle illnesses such as those caused by heart problems,” Rabah said. “More than 50% of deaths across the continent are projected to be caused by non-communicable diseases by 2030,” he continued.

The pharmaceutical group was established in 1999 as a result of merger between Sweden laboratory and British laboratory integrates its African expansion into a long-term strategy.

“If you want to expand in Africa, you need to understand this is a long-term effort. You need to be an active contributor to really strengthen the health-care system,” said Rabah whose firm sold about $500 million of drugs in Africa last year.

In 2013, drug sales in Africa amounted to $20.8 billion against $4.7 billion 10 years earlier, a study published in June 2015 by consulting firm McKinsey. This market should however triple in size by 2020 to $65 billion, the same study revealed.

Zurich Insurance Group Reports $424m Loss, May Sack 8,000

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Zurich Insurance

Last December, Zurich Insurance Group AG announced expanded plans to cut relocate or change at least 1,800 jobs in a bid to save money and revamp its struggling general insurance unit. Now, the number may hit 8,000.

News of this comes toward the end of Zurich’s Q4 2015 earnings announcement, which included a $424 million loss, and a 103.6 combined ratio for its struggling general insurance division.

Zurich Chairman and Interim CEO, Tom de Swaan pointed out in prepared remarks and Zurich’s earnings call that the company has accelerated its efficiency programme with an aim to save more than the $300 million initially targeted for 2016, and more than $1 billion by 2018.

De Swaan said those savings will come through the use of “new technology, lean processes and the off-shoring and near shoring of some activities.”

He added that as a result, about 8,000 “roles” at Zurich will feel the impact by the end of 2018. This includes “initiatives completed or announced in 2015,” de Swann noted in the earnings release, of which job cuts or relocations have already been put on the table.

During the earnings call, de Swaan and other executives did not directly address the job changes, focusing instead on broader actions taken to address General Insurance numbers.

“We have actions underway. Some have already started, and some have started to show positive signs,” de Swaan said. He added he expects that the executive team, lead by incoming CEO Mario Greco starting March 7, “will deliver much improved results in 2016.”

Zurich’s general insurance division suffered losses in Q4 due to winter storms in the U.K., a port explosion in China and other large catastrophe events. But Zurich also has struggled with U.S auto liability, global corporate property and North America commercial construction liability.

Zurich CFO, George Quinn explained during the call that some of the insurer’s struggles were as much a part of outside market forces.

In commercial auto, for example, he said that pricing, trends, and loss cost challenges are an “industry-wide issue,” but added Zurich was also slow to retreat from the line once problems became clear.

The lesson learned, Quinn said, is “speed of reaction,” which becomes clearer later in the year with decisions to exit lines such as retail and commercial coverage in the Middle East.

Sub-Saharan Africa Sees International Debt Stock Reach $402.8bn 2014

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At the end of 2014, the international debt of sub Saharan Africa (South Africa excluded) reached $402 billion, an update published by World Bank revealed. This volume exceeds that of Middle-east and Northern Africa ($187.8 billion) but is still lower than that of developing countries ($5,393 billion).

Though making only 24.5% of national gross income, the sum, over the period considered, represented 87% of overall export in the Region ($462.7 billion).

Moreover, sub Saharan Africa (SSA) had only $172 billion of foreign reserves while Latin America had $720.4 billion and developing countries had $6,100 billion. Also, between 2008 and 2014, SSA’s external deficit soared from 5 billion to 52.4 billion dollars.

A good point however is that short-term international bonds made only 14.5% of overall debt. In regard to this, SSA is better ranked than developing countries that had a 53% rate.

In sight of the plunge in prices of commodities, the International Monetary Fund now insists on the necessity for African countries to adopt a more prudent method in their strategies for international debts.

Airlines Financial Monitor—January 2O16

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Aeroplane

Key Points:
· Worldwide airline share prices fell by 10% in January, alongside widespread sell-offs in global financial markets;

· Airline financial results from Q4 2015 point to a strong end to 2015, with strong improvements in North America and Europe.

Weakness on the cargo side means that Asia Pacific airlines saw the smallest improvements;

· Crude oil prices dropped to a 12-year low during January, reflecting a combination of heightened concerns over excess supply in the market and signs of weakness on the demand side too. If sustained, the most recent declines in oil prices would reduce the industry’s annual fuel bill by approximately $12 billion in 2016;

· After adjusting for the distortionary impacts from the rise in the US dollar over the past 18 months or so, global air fares fell by around 5% in annual terms in 2015. Recent falls in oil prices mean that further falls in air fares are likely to be seen in 2016 as hedging contracts unwind, which will help to stimulate demand over the year;

· Passenger traffic in 2015 enjoyed its strongest growth in five years. The passenger load factor averaged a record high over the year, which alongside a lower breakeven load factor, helped to drive strong financial performance;

· By contrast, the cargo side of the business had a fitful year, with volumes ending the year just 0.5% higher than they started it. The freight load factor has settled at a six-year low, keeping intense pressure on cargo yields.

A New Era in US-Africa Trade Relations? – The US Electrify Africa Act

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JB Cronjé, tralac Researcher, comments on the Obama Administration’s passing of the Electrify Africa Act.

On 1 February 2016, the House of Representatives and Senate of the United States (US) finally passed the Electrify Africa Act nearly two years after it was first introduced in the House.

A few days later on 08 February 2016 President Obama signed it into law. The Act is the most significant piece of legislation to advance United States’ commercial interests with the African continent since the enactment of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) in May 2000.

This could signal the beginning of a new era in US-Africa trade relations beyond AGOA; placing greater focus on specific areas of mutual benefit such as the energy and information and communications technologies services sectors.

The purpose of the Act is to establish a comprehensive policy framework that provides for the development of an implementation strategy containing clear policy goals, and to give a clear mandate to the US Administration and Agencies to prioritise and encourage efforts made by sub-Saharan African countries to improve access to affordable and reliable electricity.

The Act also provides for mechanisms to coordinate, monitor and evaluate its implementation. As a whole, the Act gives a long-term commitment from the US Government to actively contribute to the transformation of the electricity market on the continent.

The Act authorises the US Administration to partner, consult and coordinate with sub-Saharan African countries, international financial institutions, African regional economic communities, cooperatives and the private sector to promote access to electricity for at least 50 million Africans by 2020; encourage the installation of at least 20000 of additional megawatts of electricity by 2020 using a broad mix of energy options, including renewable energy; promote non-discriminatory, reliable, affordable and sustainable electricity in urban areas; promote policies to facilitate public-private partnerships; encourage electricity generation, distribution, pricing and regulatory reforms; promote an increase in private financing; promote the displacement of kerosene lighting with other technologies; and to promote an energy development strategy for sub-Saharan Africa that includes the use of oil, natural gas, coal, hydroelectric, wind, solar, geothermal power and other sources of energy.

The Act directs the President to prepare a multiyear strategy to assist sub-Saharan countries to implement their national power strategies. A report that contains the strategy must be submitted to the Senate and House of Representatives within 180 days from the enactment of the legislation.

The President is also required to prepare a progress report, containing detailed information on each power project, three years after the enactment of the Act.

In accordance with the requirements of the Act, the strategy should contain:

· A general account of efforts in sub-Saharan Africa to increase power production; electrical transmission and distribution infrastructure; provide for regulatory reform; improve the reliability of power supply; maintain the affordability of electricity; maximise the financial sustainability of the electricity sector; and improve non-discriminatory access.

· Plans to support efforts to increase access to electricity in urban and rural areas, including plans to address commercial, industrial, and residential needs.

· Plans to support efforts to reduce waste and corruption, ensure local community consultation, and improve existing power generation through the use of a broad power mix and other technological innovations.

· An analysis of existing mechanisms to promote commercial cost recovery; commercialisation of electric services through distribution service providers; improvements in revenue cycle management, electricity pricing and fees assessed for service contracts and connections; reductions in technical losses and commercial losses; and non-discriminatory access to electricity, including recommendations on the creation of new service provider models that mobilise community participation.

· A description of the reforms being undertaken or planned by countries to ensure the long-term economic viability of power projects and to increase access to electricity, including reforms designed to allow third parties to connect power generation to the grid; policies to ensure there is a viable and independent utility regulator; strategies to ensure utilities become or remain creditworthy; regulations that permit the participation of independent power producers and private-public partnerships; policies that encourage private sector and cooperative investment in power generation; policies that ensure compensation for power provided to the electrical grid by on-site producers; policies to unbundle power services; regulations to eliminate conflicts of interest in the utility sector; efforts to develop standardised power purchase agreements and other contracts to streamline project development; efforts to negotiate and monitor compliance with power purchase agreements and other contracts entered into with the private sector; and policies that promote local community consultation with respect to the development of power generation and transmission projects.

· Plans to ensure meaningful local consultation, as appropriate, in the planning, long-term maintenance, and management of investments designed to increase access to power.

· A description of the mechanisms to be established for the selection of partner countries for focused engagement on the electricity sector; monitoring and evaluating increased access to, and reliability and affordability of, electricity in sub-Saharan Africa; maximising the financial sustainability of power generation, transmission, and distribution; establishing metrics to demonstrate progress on meeting goals relating to access to electricity, power generation, and distribution; and terminating unsuccessful programs.

· A description of how the President intends to promote trade in electrical equipment with countries in sub-Saharan Africa, including a description of how the government of each country receiving assistance pursuant to the strategy plans to lower or eliminate import tariffs or other taxes for energy and other power production and distribution technologies destined for sub-Saharan Africa, including equipment used to provide energy access, including solar lanterns, solar home systems, and micro and mini grids; and plans to protect the intellectual property of companies designing and manufacturing products that can be used to provide energy access in sub-Saharan Africa.

· A description of how the President intends to encourage the growth of distributed renewable energy markets in sub-Saharan Africa, including off-grid lighting, which includes an analysis of the state of distributed renewable energy in sub-Saharan Africa; a description of market barriers to the deployment of distributed renewable energy technologies both on- and off-grid in sub-Saharan Africa; an analysis of the efficacy of efforts by the Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) and the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) to facilitate the financing of the importation, distribution, sale, leasing, or marketing of distributed renewable energy technologies; and a description of how bolstering distributed renewable energy can enhance the overall effort to increase power access in sub-Saharan Africa.

· Plans to ensure that small and medium enterprises based in sub-Saharan Africa can fairly compete for energy development and energy access opportunities associated with the Act.

· A description of how US investments to increase access to energy in sub-Saharan Africa may reduce the need for foreign aid and development assistance in the future.

· A description of policies or regulations, both domestically and internationally, that create barriers to private financing of the projects undertaken in the Act.

The Act grants the President the authority to establish an Interagency Working Group to coordinate the activities of relevant US government departments and agencies and to oversee the implementation of the strategy.

Several US entities, including the USAID, the United States Trade and Development Agency (USTDA), the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC), and the OPIC, are tasked to prioritise and expedite institutional efforts and assistance to facilitate their involvement in power projects and markets, both on- and off-grid, and to partner with other investors and local institutions.

This includes providing technical assistance, loans, insurance, grants, and other assistance to implement the strategy. In particular, these agencies must also promote the use of private financing. US representatives deployed to appropriate international bodies are required to leverage international support for the objectives of the Act.

Most of the Act’s requirements in relation to the promotion of access to electricity will be implemented under the existing Power Africa initiative. The initiative, launched by President Obama in 2013, aims to double access to clean, reliable and efficient electricity in sub-Saharan African countries and is based on a partnership approach, leveraged by private sector investment and supported by host country governments and multilateral and bilateral donors.

At the launch of the initiative in Cape Town South Africa, President Obama said, “we are moving beyond the simple provision of assistance, foreign aid, to a new model of partnership between America and Africa – a partnership of equals that focuses on your capacity to solve problems, and your capacity to grow.”

Three years after the launch of the Power Africa initiative, nearly $43 billion in commitments from the public and private sectors, including more than $31 billion in commitments from the private sector has been leveraged over and above the initial $7 billion commitment from the US Government.

Public sector partners, including the African Development Bank (AfDB), the World Bank Group (WBG), the Government of Sweden, and the European Union (EU) have collectively committed nearly $12 billion in support of sustainable energy activities.
The Power Africa Initiative has also formed partnerships with the Governments of Norway and the United Kingdom. Strategic partnerships have been concluded with the African Union’s New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD), the United Nations’ Sustainable Energy for All initiative (SE4All), and the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA).

The phenomenal progress thus far confirms private sector interest in the electricity sector on the continent and preparedness to form partnerships. This initiative highlights the (well-known) need to undertake necessary domestic reforms and to create a regulatory environment that is conducive to foreign investment.

Obviously, regional power pools should be connected and strengthened to facilitate cross-border trade in electricity. But regional trade agreements currently under negotiation also have an important role to play in unlocking opportunities for investors and local entrepreneurs.

They should be forward-looking enough to stimulate infinite economic opportunities associated with greater levels of inter-connectedness but they should also address possible challenges that could hamper the development and establishment of a competitive regional electricity market.

SIEMENS NIGERIA HOSTS INAUGURAL CUSTOMER FORUM

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Siemens

Emphasising long-term focus on Public-Private Partnerships in the Energy Sector.

Lagos, Nigeria: Tuesday 9th February 2016 – Siemens, one of the world’s largest producers of energy-efficient, resource-saving technologies, today hosted its inaugural Forum for Power and Gas Customers in Nigeria.

The objectives of the forum were to:

  • Emphasize Siemens’ long term focus on Public-Private Partnerships for the development of Independent Power Plants (IPPs) and provision of its associated services for such development to Siemens customers
  • Promote Siemens’ in-country service capabilities in the Oil and Gas, Utilities and Manufacturing Sectors
  • Explore sector growth through delivery of turnkey captive/Embedded Distributed Generation and LGT Power Plant solutions
Siemens
(L-R) – Mr. Andreas Pistauer, Executive Vice President Sales Power and Gas (Africa), Siemens AG; Mrs. Onyeche Tifase, Chief Executive Officer, Siemens Nigeria and Dr. David Ladipo, Chief Executive Officer, Azura Power at the Inaugural Siemens Customer Forum on Tuesday 9th February 2016.

Speakers at the Forum included: Mrs. Onyeche Tifase, the Managing Director /Chief Executive Officer, Siemens Nigeria; Mr. Andreas Pistauer, Senior Vice President Sales (Africa), Siemens AG; Dr. David Ladipo, Chief Executive Officer, Azura Power; Mr. Nasir Giwa, General Manager – Power and Gas, Siemens Nigeria; Mr. Tobias Behringer, Head of Department – Financing, Advising and Structuring, Siemens AG and Mr. Daniel Taylor, Head of Service, Siemens Nigeria.

In her welcome address, Mrs. Tifase stated “Siemens has successfully delivered solutions for power generation, transmission and distribution for over 160 years across more than 190 countries. Our main objective here today is to determine how these solutions can be adapted to our peculiar situation here in Nigeria. Given our 45 year history in Nigeria, most of you here know us well already.

We will however use this opportunity to reintroduce and highlight core aspects of our portfolio that distinguish Siemens with regards to our capability to provide efficient and competitive solutions through leading edge electrification, project financing and service capabilities and technology.”

Siemens strongly supports local content with a focus on closer customer repositioning, first response, after sales support, project financing and Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). Speaking on this, Mr. Andreas Pistauer, Senior Vice President Sales (Africa), Siemens AG stated “We want to extend, build and have partnerships with Nigeria and are here to promote innovation through our local footprint.

Our Port Harcourt One-Service Centre is a key example of how we are investing in delivering high-end after-sales services to clients using local staff, modern facilities and advanced equipment.”

Dr David Ladipo, CEO Azura Power West Africa Ltd, gave an overview on the ground-breaking Azura-Edo Independent Power Project (IPP) and Siemens’ roles as both a long-term Engineering Procurement and Construction (EPC) partner and financial contributor through the Siemens Financial Solutions (SFS) division.

The Azura project is a 459MW open cycle gas turbine power station being developed near Benin City in Edo State and represents the first phase of a 1,500MW power plant facility targeted to come on stream in 2018. Dr. Ladipo, spoke on the journey so far; commending Siemens’ patience, innovation, appetite for risk and long-term focus. There was also additional commentary from Standard Chartered Bank – the project’s Global Mandated Lead Arranger – on the uniqueness of the financial transaction.

During his presentation titled ‘Siemens Financial Solution for Power and Gas’, Mr. Tobias Behringer, stated that “Building on the strength of our balance sheet, we provide financial solutions for Siemens’ projects and products, open the way for new business ideas and signal confidence to the markets through long-term risk participation”.

The solutions cover an analysis of all aspects and risks related to project finance, review of the financial viability of projects, coordination and negotiations with all project participants and design of financing-relevant components in the supplier agreement.

The event – which will hold annually – was well attended by a cross-section of key stakeholders, decision makers and partners to Siemens in the Power and Gas sector.

About Siemens

Siemens AG (Berlin and Munich) is a global technology powerhouse that has stood for engineering excellence, innovation, quality, reliability and internationality for more than 165 years.

The company is active in more than 200 countries, focusing on the areas of electrification, automation and digitalization.

One of the world’s largest producers of energy-efficient, resource-saving technologies, Siemens is No. 1 in offshore wind turbine construction, a leading supplier of gas and steam turbines for power generation, a major provider of power transmission solutions and a pioneer in infrastructure solutions as well as automation, drive and software solutions for industry.

The company is also a leading provider of medical imaging equipment – such as computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging systems – and a leader in laboratory diagnostics as well as clinical IT.

In fiscal 2015, which ended on September 30, 2015, Siemens generated revenue of €75.6 billion and net income of €7.4 billion. At the end of September 2015, the company had around 348,000 employees worldwide. Further information is available on the Internet at www.siemens.com

Nigeria Abolishes Capital Levels for Insurance Firms

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National Insurance Commission

The National Insurance Commission [NAICOM] and operators have jointly agreed to abolish capital levels for insurance companies operating in Nigeria as part of measures towards transmitting to risk-based supervision.

The decision was taken at the 2nd Insurers Committee held in Lagos yesterday and attended by the Commissioner for Insurance, NAICOM and chief executive officers of insurance firms.

However, the committee maintained that the existing minimum capital requirement for life, general and composite insurance business will still remain the minimal benchmark in the industry.

Mr. Oye Hassan-Odukale, the Chairman, Publicity & Communications Sub-committee said henceforth, each insurance company will determine the level of capital it needs to operate maximally in the market.

He said the committee also agreed to enforce the Code of Corporate governance with effect from April 1, 2O16 to enhance market and professional transparency in the industry going.

Odukale, who is also the Managing Director/CEO of Leadway Assurance Company Limited, added that certain contending issues between NAICOM and operators were equally discussed for the purpose of resolving same in the interest of all parties, and sustainable growth of the insurance market.

He promised that a Roadmap on the risk-based supervision model would be unveiled later when the various committees set-up for the purpose must have submitted their reports.

Nigeria – Which FX Rate Matters More?

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Nigerian economy

· Inflationary pressure is rising despite an unchanged official USD-NGN FX rate
· The parallel market FX rate may be playing a more important role in price determination
· This has potentially far-reaching implications for Nigerian FX and economic policy
· Price gains despite an unchanged official FX rate

The Standard Chartered-Premise Consumer Price Tracker (SC-PCPT) rose 0.44% m/m in January, following a 0.64% m/m gain in the previous month.

In all, 10 out of the 12 categories surveyed demonstrated y/y price gains, with only two – ‘pulses, nuts and seeds’ and ‘starchy roots, tubers and plantains’ – exhibiting y/y deflation. This suggests that prices are rising, despite attempts to keep the official Nigerian naira (NGN) exchange rate unchanged, at just under 200 versus the USD.

In January 2016, the authorities discontinued the sale of FX to Bureaux de Change (BDC), triggering a more rapid pace of NGN depreciation on the ‘parallel’ market. At the time of writing, BDC FX rates have reportedly reached c.305-310, signalling a widening spread versus the official exchange rate.

The findings of the SC-PCPT suggest that prices continue to be pressured higher, despite official attempts to hold the interbank USD-NGN rate steady.

Although an important part of the rationale for resisting an official devaluation is to keep fuel prices and inflation moderate (around 50% of Central Bank of Nigeria FX allocations to commercial banks are used to fund fuel imports), the evidence from our SC-PCPT suggests that the parallel market FX rate may be playing a more important role in the determination of overall prices in Nigeria.

This has potentially important economic and policy implications. As more demand is pushed to the BDC segment – until now, a largely cash-based, retail and illiquid segment of the FX market – the tendency for the USD-NGN FX rate to overshoot will likely be exacerbated. Notwithstanding the weak growth backdrop, this may feed into greater price pressures. Monetary policy is poorly equipped to respond.

By Razia Khan
Chief Economist [Africa]
Standard Chartered Bank

President Buhari Rules Out Devaluation

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Buhari

Recent comments by President Buhari appear to rule out the likelihood of an official NGN devaluation. Despite hints of potential FX market liberalisation during the 2016 budget speech on 22 December 2015, renewed pressure on the oil price in early 2016 may have discouraged the authorities from any planned FX market liberalisation.

This may reflect the authorities’ belief that foreign portfolio inflows are unlikely to be significant against a weaker oil price backdrop, even in the event of some market liberalisation. This considerably reduces the incentive for the authorities to liberalise the FX regime in the very near term. More meaningfully, the weaker oil price is seen to exacerbate pressure on Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves, making it more difficult for the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to sustain even the current level of imports.

With reserves pressured, the authorities are likely to feel less confident about their ability to defend any band around a newly set, higher mid-rate for USD-NGN. Their ability to do so credibly would require growing FX reserves. The default position is therefore not to liberalise Nigeria’s FX regime just yet. Although Nigeria’s monetary policy committee (MPC) met in late January, there was no announcement on further FX market liberalisation. Nor was there any tightening of monetary policy that might hint at a future intention to liberalise.

Instead, the MPC opted to hold interest rates steady, allowing for earlier easing measures to provide ‘support’ to the real economy. With the official interbank FX market failing to meet outstanding demand for FX, however, the risk is that much of this demand will eventually be pushed to the parallel market. Conversely, a higher spread between the parallel market and the official interbank rate should see more ‘autonomous’ FX sales diverted to the parallel market as well.

The sum of Nigeria’s regulation is to boost the importance of the parallel market, while weakening that of the official market. The level of weekly CBN FX sales is now seen as inadequate to address the extent of outstanding FX demand. With each weekly FX sale by the CBN, refunds pressure market interest rates lower (as all bids for FX have to be fully funded).

This points to considerable unmet demand for FX at the official interbank market. The implication is that the queue for FX continues to grow. With only c.USD 10mn a day of transaction volumes on the official interbank market outside CBN FX sales, it is declining in importance.

Eventually, more of the unsatisfied demand for FX is likely to make its way to the parallel market. The problem is that the parallel market, a largely retail, cash-based market, with small transaction sizes, and a large number of small sellers of FX, remains unsuited to meet wholesale FX demand in Africa’s largest economy.

Arguably, the nature of the market has already triggered more overshooting in the NGN FX rate than was strictly justified. But with no other onshore FX market influenced purely by the forces of demand and supply, for now, the parallel market provides the only alternative to the official interbank market. The degree of FX overshooting may be overdone – a consequence of poor liquidity and transparency on the parallel market.

However, it is the BDC rate that is likely to drive perceptions of the relative overvaluation of the official FX rate. More alarmingly, as suggested by January’s SC-PCPT, the parallel market rate – rather than the official rate which has been unchanged for a year – may now be playing a more important role in the determination of the price of consumer staples in Nigeria.

Orange Unveils Entrepreneur Club for Start-ups in Africa, Middle East

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orange

Orange is launching the Entrepreneur Club, a new space for information in French and English devoted to entrepreneurs in Africa and the Middle East.

The website (http://entrepreneurclub.orange) is a source of information for entrepreneurs that puts them in touch with a variety of instruments from Orange that support entrepreneurship. The Entrepreneur Club also provides practical information and tools for company creation.

Orange Supports Start-ups in Africa and Middle East
Entrepreneurs in Africa and the Middle East are contributing to their countries’ development and reputation. Orange collaborates with them on a daily basis by giving them access to quality voice and data services.

Orange also supports small and medium companies in the region as part of its policy of corporate social responsibility, for example through the Orange Prize for the Social Entrepreneur in Africa and by working with a number of local incubators (CTIC in Senegal, CIPMEN in Niger, etc.).

A Single Window Towards Support by Orange
The Entrepreneur Club redirects the entrepreneur towards ecosystem instruments suited to his or her situation. For example, the entrepreneur can find pertinent information on numerous aspects of his or her business, including the legal environment, how-to sheets, best practices, tips and video verbatims.

Some entrepreneurs need the support, hosting and coaching that incubators provide, others want to improve their payment options with Orange’s APIs, still others are looking for financing. In addition to Orange’s local B2B services, the Net surfer is introduced to Imagine with Orange, Orange Partner, Orange Developer, Orange Fab and Orange Digital Ventures.

A Survival Kit for Entrepreneurs
The business entrepreneur has to respond to a variety of questions, depending on the maturity of his or her start-up.
At Entrepreneur Club, experienced entrepreneurs from Africa and the Middle East talk about the problems they have encountered and what they do to overcome them.

Specialised journalists and lawyers contribute technical articles and practical advice in easy-to-understand language.

MTN Nigeria, Gemalto Partner on Commercial GSMA Mobile Connect Service

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Gemalto

Gemalto, the world leader in digital security, has been selected to provide its LinqUs Mobile ID platform to MTN Nigeria.

This new project, operated for MTN in SaaS mode by Gemalto Allynis Services, marks the first commercial rollout of SIM based services delivering convenient mobile authentication for all mobile users.

Compliant with the latest GSMA standards, Mobile Connect, ‘MTN Token’ is available immediately to MTN Nigeria’s 70 million subscribers and positions the operator as the country’s foremost provider of secure digital identification and authentication.MTN

MTN Token offers their users a universal digital ID combined with a mobile-based second factor authentication, for easy and secure web service access, payments and financial transactions validation.

When using MTN Token for eCommerce, banking, insurance, ePublic and corporate networks services, the user’s mobile phone number is employed as the username. Depending on the level of protection required by the service provider, the process is completed by simply pressing OK on the handset, or entering a unique user-selected PIN code.

Any service provider in Nigeria can now easily adopt MTN Token services to dramatically strengthen protection of online services against identity theft and cybercrime. It also enables the operator to offer a convenient digital journey to its customers, removing complex registration and log-in processes, while sparing them the hassle of remembering new username/password combinations.

MTN Token leverages the secure SIM vault, creating a trusted environment for sensitive data and transactions, without the initial infrastructure investment required by in-house implementations.

“With the launch of MTN Token, we are the first private provider of secure online identity and positioned as a warrant of digital ID and authentication in Nigeria,” said A’isha Umar Mumuni, General Manager, Products & Innovation at MTN Nigeria.

“As our network of service providers adopting MTN Token grows, the solution will deliver significant reductions in fraud whilst easing the frustration often experienced by consumers on their digital journeys.”

“The long-established partnership between MTN Nigeria and Gemalto is the perfect foundation for this ground-breaking project,” said Eric Claudel, President for Middle East & Africa at Gemalto.

“Bridging the gap between security and convenience, Mobile Connect represents the future of user authentication. It also fully supports operators in monetising new value added services.”

Jumia, AXA Partner on Insurance Services to African Clients

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Jumia

Africa Internet Group, a leading e-commerce group in Africa, and AXA, a worldwide leader in insurance and asset management, have announced a partnership whereby AXA will become the exclusive provider of insurance products and services through Jumia and other AIG online and mobile platforms in Africa.

Going forward, AXA’s African insurance companies plan to propose custom-made insurance products to Jumia and AIG’s e-commerce client base through its ecosystem of market-places and classifieds services.

As part of the partnership, AXA will also become a shareholder of AIG, along with MTN, Rocket Internet and Millicom.

AXA and Jumia view Africa as a fast developing market for financial services and insurance products, benefitting from strong fundamentals such as low penetration rates, rise in middle class, urbanization as well as the youth of its population.

“Internet is creating unparalleled opportunities for consumers and businesses in Africa to connect and do business in a new way.

We continue to be very excited about the growth prospects of Jumia and this new partnership will enable us to capture them,” said Sacha Poignonnec and Jeremy Hodara, Founders and co-CEOs of Jumia and AIG.

“We expect Africa’s e-commerce and online businesses to develop rapidly as a result of the strong growth of the middle class coupled with the increasing mobile phone and internet penetration.

With Rocket Internet’s extensive background in online business models, MTN as leading mobile carrier with its broad African presence, and now the partnership with AXA in insurance products and services, we are in a great position to continue to innovate and connect businesses to the fast growing consumer demand.”

“This transaction confirms AXA’s long-term commitment towards the African markets and represents another step in our development on the continent. Africa is home to some of the most dynamic and promising insurance markets in the world and our partnership with Africa Internet Group will enable us to accelerate materially our development by having access to their rich customer base and to their state-of-the-art e-commerce technology.

Going forward, we aim to enable African consumers to better access insurance solutions to create sustainable financial well-being throughout their lives and those of their dependants”, added Denis Duverne, Deputy CEO of AXA.

As a result of the transaction, AXA will invest Euro 75 million and own approximately 8% of the capital of AIG. Completion of the transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including the closing of the previous investment round, and is expected to take place in the first quarter of 2016

The additional capital contributed by AXA will further strengthen the balance sheet and support AIG’s continued growth. Jumia, AIG’s main subsidiary, is currently present in 11 African markets and grew its transaction volume (GMV) by 265% during first 9 months of 2015 to reach Euro 206 million.

Jumia is part of broader ecosystem of services providing opportunities for local African businesses to do business with the fast-growing African consumers and middle class.

Other services include Kaymu, a leading online shopping community, as well as leading marketplaces in food delivery (Hellofood), travel (Jovago) and leading classifieds in real estate (Lamudi), jobs (Everjobs) and cars (Carmudi).

India Bans Facebook Free Website Service

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India’s telecoms regulator has banned mobile networks from offering free access to the Facebook website in a growing row over net neutrality issues.

Facebook’s Founder, Mark Zuckerberg expressed his disappointment with the decision banning differential pricing of data services, which makes Facebook’s Free Basics illegal in the country.

Facebook signs deals with mobile networks where they offer free mobile data access to a slimmed-down version of the Facebook website to encourage people to use the mobile internet.

However, smaller websites struggle to offer comparable deals, putting them at a disadvantage.

The regulator, the TRAI has now banned the practice of charging different rates for mobile data services for different internet services, except in emergencies.

A vocal campaign has been run by Facebook in the run up to the decision by the regulator, prompting some 11 million people to send an automatic email asking the regulator to support Facebook’s position.

However, the regulator dismissed the entire stunt, noting that the “majority of the individual comments received did not address the specific questions that were raised.”

In a statement, the TRAI said that “allowing price differentiation based on the type of content being accessed on the Internet, would militate against the very basis on which the internet has developed and transformed the way we connect with one another.”

TRAI Chairman, Ram Sewak Sharma noted that “packets on Internet, the pipes should not decide. Pipes should be agnostic to the packet.”

Facebooks’ Free Basics is operational in about 19 countries including parts of Africa, but now, no longer in India.