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Google Slashes Political Lobbying to $3.8m

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google

Google slashed spending on lobbying by 25.5 percent in the first quarter of 2016 to $3.80 million, while AT&T reported the highest lobbying outlay at $4.48 million among a group of 16 tech and communications companies monitored by Consumer Watchdog.

Google spent $5.10 million in the comparable 2015 period and AT&T’s spending was up 2.5 percent from $4.37 million in 2015, according to disclosure reports just filed with the Clerk of the House of Representatives.

Facebook, which has been increasing its Washington presence, spent $2.78 million, an increase of 13.9 percent from $2.44 million, in the comparable 2015 quarter.

Microsoft also topped $2 million in lobbying spending. It reported expenditures of $2.02 million, an increase of 6.9 percent from $1.89 million in 2015.

Lobbying spending increased 39 percent at Amazon, to $ 2.65 million from $1.91 million in the first quarter of 2015, the disclosure records show. It was the fourth straight quarter that its spending topped $2 million.

Seven of the companies spent more than $2 million on lobbying, Consumer Watchdog noted. Twelve spent more than $1 million on lobbying in the first quarter.

“It’s important to understand just how much money these companies are throwing around in Washington to buy the policies they want,” said John M. Simpson, Consumer Watchdog’s Privacy Project Director. “Policymaking is now all about big bucks, not big ideas.”

Consumer Watchdog, a nonpartisan nonprofit public interest group, monitors the lobbying disclosure reports of 16 tech and communications companies.

Half of the 16 companies increased their first quarter 2016 spending on lobbying and half decreased spending from 2015 first-quarter levels.

Here are lobbying expenditures for the first quarter of 2016 for six other tech companies:

Apple spent $1.13 million, an 8.9 percent decrease from $1.24 million.
Cisco spent $420,000, a 30 percent decrease from $600,000.
IBM spent $830,000 a 17 percent decrease from $1 million.
Intel spent $1.23 million, an increase of 5.1 percent from $1.17 million.
Oracle spent $1.72 million, an increase of 33.3 percent from $1.29 million.
Yahoo! spent $690,000, a 5.5 percent decrease from $730,000.

Here are lobbying expenses for three other communications companies in the first quarter 2016:

Sprint spent $523,041 a decrease of 28.8 percent from $734,927.
T-Mobile spent $1.80 million, an increase of 52.5 percent from $1.18 million.
Verizon spent $3.59 million, an increase of 7.2 percent $3.35 million.

Here are 2016 first quarter lobbying expenditures for two cable companies:

Comcast spent $3.72 million, a 19.5 percent decrease from $4.62 million.
Time Warner Cable spent $1.5 million, an 11.8 percent decrease from $1.7 million.

First Bank Suffers 82% Drop in Profit, To Sack 1, OOO Staff

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first bank

FBN Holdings Plc published its much awaited audited FY:2015 and Q1:2016 results on 26th March, 2016 on the floor of the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) with Gross Earnings and Profit After Tax coming much lower than anticipated.

Skewness to Oil & Gas loans impacted on profitability as a monumental N119.3bn was booked in impairment charges for its FY: 2015 dragging profitability by 82.0%.

We present the highlights of the results and our revised 2016 estimates below.

FY: 2015 PAT Slumped 82.0% Y-o-Y on N119.3bn Impairment Charges
Noting the overwhelming pressure in the global and domestic macroeconomic space, FBN Holdings Plc submitted a FY: 2015 gross earnings of N505.2bn, up 4.9% relative to N481.8bn in prior year, driven by growth in interest income which rose 9.3% Y-o-Y as against non-interest income which came in weaker at 12.0% Y-o-Y down.

While this was well below our FY:2015 gross earnings projection of N573.2bn (11.9% variance) for the same period, gross earnings for Q1:2016 came in even lower, down 15.2% Y-o-Y to N107.5bn from N126.8bn in Q1:2015, as both interest and non-interest income plunged 12.4% and 23.7% respectively.

Although the Group had earlier issued an earnings alert stressing that higher loan loss provisioning may weigh heavily on profitability, FY: 2015 PAT tumbled 82.0% Y-o-Y to N15.1bn from N84.0bn in prior year as impairment charges for the period rose 360.6% Y-o-Y to N119.3bn on account of FBNH’s disproportionate exposure to oil & gas sector (39.5% of Gross Loans) and foreign currency loans (65.0% of which relates to Oil & Gas).

This was rather staggering by our assessment given our initial PAT projection of N42.7bn for FY:2015. The Group further booked an impairment charge of N12.8bn in Q1:2016, hence, PAT dipped 8.3% Y-o-Y to N20.7bn in Q1:2016 from N22.6bn in prior period.

Consequently, PBT and PAT margins shrank to 4.3% and 3.0% in FY:2015 from 19.5% and 17.4% in FY:2014 respectively even as ROAE and ROAA eased significantly to 2.7% and 0.4% in 2015 from 16.9% and 2.0% in that order. Performance in 2016 is expected to remain weak as asset quality continues to pressure yields amid soft loan growth outlook.

Thus, we forecast gross earnings growth at 1.5%, however, PAT is expected to surge significantly due to base effect.

CIR to Improve as Management Intensifies Efforts to Control Cost
FBNH’s Cost to Income Ratio (CIR) improved from 65.2% in FY:2014 to 59.8% in FY: 2015, this was largely driven by moderation in operating expenses which declined 5.6% Y-o-Y in 2015. CIR further improved in Q1:2016, settling at 58.0%.

Further scrutiny indicated that net interest income expanded 8.7% Y-o-Y to N265.0bn in 2015 despite 10.5% increase in interest expense during the period. Thus, NIM rose from 7.6% in FY: 2014 to 8.1% in FY:2015 and Q1:2016. With new management in place, we anticipate an improvement in operating efficiency as the Group intensifies effort to contain cost and improve operating margins.

NPL Ratio at 18.1% in FY: 2015 from 2.9% in FY: 2014
FBN Holdings loan book contracted 16.5% Y-o-Y in FY:2015 and dipped further by 2.3% in Q1:2016 to settle at N2.2tn.

However, non-performing loan (NPL) ratio jumped dramatically from 2.9% to an alarming 18.1% in FY: 2015 worsening to 21.5% in Q1:2016 as risk environment toughened.

Similarly, Cost of risk rose to 5.7% in FY: 2015 from 1.3% in FY:2014 but eased to 2.6% in Q1:2016 as credit impairment charges expanded 360.6% Y-o-Y to N119.11bn in FY:2015.

We think FBN Holding’s massive exposure to the Oil & Gas Sector (39.5%) as well as foreign currency loans is rather disturbing given that there should have been a structure in place to checkmate uncontrolled exposure to any sector.

Obviously, FBNH needs to overhaul its credit risk management framework as well as review maximum sector allocation to forestall future occurrence. Given the overall outlook of the economy, loan growth is expected to stay modest across the sector, our view is that FBNH will be fixated on improving risk management structure for most of 2016 thus loan growth may be flat or contract

TSA Implementation Leads to Contraction in Deposits
TSA implementation which led to the withdrawal of large institutional funds as well as CBN’s restriction on cash deposits to domiciliary accounts in 2015 pressured total deposits which contracted 3.3% to N3.1tn in FY:2015, slowing further in Q1:2016 by 2.6% to N3.0tn.

Thus, total liabilities declined 6.1% Y-o-Y settling at N3.6tn. Deposit growth may be constrained further in 2016 as poor fiscal and monetary policy responses to recessionary pressures in the economy weaken retail deposits while competition for cheap deposits heightens.

Nonetheless, the Group stays well capitalised with a Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) of 17.1% as at FY:2015, slightly above 16.0% benchmark for Systemically Important Banks (SIBs) in the country.

Rating: Performance to be Pressured by Weak Asset Quality, We maintain our REDUCE” Rating
Against the backdrop of weaker loan growth outlook as driven by unrelenting pressure in the overall macroeconomic environment, we updated our valuation assumptions for FBN Holdings, using a blend of absolute and relative valuation methodologies.

Although we expect the Group to tighten its credit risk management framework going forward, we do not expect this to bring about a significant improvement in its performance metrics in 2016. We are of the view that sentiments on the share price will remain weak in the short to medium term given that indication from the Q1:2016 numbers showing similar trend with that of FY: 2015.

Thus, we imagine that investors will stay wary of the stock until earnings scorecards begin to indicate positive changes.

On the basis of the foregoing, we review our target price for FBNH to N3.25/share (implied P/E and P/BV of 4.6x and 0.4x respectively) from previous N3.88/share. Compared to market price of N3.57, P/E and P/BV of 7.9x and 0.2x as at 27/04/2016, this indicates a downside of 9.1%.

Thus, we maintain our “REDUCE” rating on FBNH Holdings.

-Afrinvest Research

Olam Predicts Biggest Global Cocoa Deficit Since 1980

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Olam

This year, the world will record its greatest cocoa deficit since 1980.

This was revealed by Amit Suri of Olam, who is in charge of the cocoa division of world’s third biggest cocoa processor.

According to the official, the deficit will reach 308,000 tons at the end of September. This estimate, which exceeds January’s 122,000 tons, is based on damages to yields as a result of dry weather in producing countries.

In Cote d’Ivoire, world’s leading cocoa producer, production will fall by 110,000 tons, compared to forecast in January. Ghana, the second top producer, will record a 30% fall in production. Brazil will harvest 60,000 tons less than forecast. Ecuador and Indonesia will also be hit by the production fall. Only Cameroon and Nigeria will have their output increase.

“In my 20 years in the cocoa industry, I have never seen such significant changes in supply and demand occur so late in the year,” said Amit Suri who highlighted that not only volumes would be affected since quality was also affected by weather conditions.

“There is a deficit in cocoa but there is also a deficit in cocoa of quality. We are concerned about physical supply and about how the market will react as it didn’t take it into account,” he told Bloomberg.

ETA-Zuma Plans 300 MW Coal-fired Plant in Nigeria

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Miner ETA-Zuma announced it plans to build a 300 MW coal-fired power plant in Nigeria. The firm which obtained a licence to develop a 1200 MW thermal plant will first build a 300 MW plant due to investment’s size, revealed the company’s chief executive Joseph Avalogu.

The plant is to be built in Itobo, Kogi State. The chief executive told News Agency of Nigeria that construction works would start before the end of 2016 and last 13 months.

Mr Ayalogu highlighted that his firm was aware of the health and environmental issues related to woal and indicated that it took optimal measures regarding the management of the plant’s waste.

Nigeria Seeks World Bank Support to Recover $320m Abacha Loot

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Buhari

President of Nigeria, Muhamadu Buhari, asked World Bank’s help to rapidly recover $320 million stolen under General Sani Abacha’s rule and hidden in Swiss accounts.

Buhari made the appeal to the Bank’s Chief Operating Officer, Sri Mulyani Indrawatito as she was visiting Nigeria, after stopping by Cameroon.

“We need the support of the World Bank for the repatriation of the funds. If such repatriated funds have been misapplied in the past, I assure you that the same will not happen with us,” Buhari said. Swiss authorities agreed to send back the funds on the condition that they are used to finance development projects, under the aegis of World Bank.

The visit of the COO was also the occasion for a direct dialogue regarding Nigeria’s economic status. Truly, Africa’s top economy suffers from a drop in quantity and prices of the crude it produces.

It is a situation which led to external and public revenues falling, deficit widening and Naira devaluating.

Indrawatito talked about various ways to support Nigeria, but none of the executives present came back on the $2.5 billion and one billion dollar loans that Nigeria asked World Bank and African Development Bank respectively at the beginning of 2016.

Regarding the World Bank loan, it was to be approved by IMF.

However, the latter like many international investors, wished for Nigeria to float its currency, or at least, officially devaluate it.

This constitutes today the stumbling block between Nigeria and its various western economic partners.

Buhari stands firm on his position which is that devaluating Naira is not adequate, referring to past and risk of inflation. Also, he signed with China various agreements, leaving a margin in case of a separation with his Western partners.

Huawei Wins Best Cloud Award at TV Connect 2016

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Huawei

Huawei uCDN solution was presented with the “Best Cloud or CDN Service Delivery” award in TV Connect 2016 industry awards reveal today. This award recognises innovations specifically in media delivery.

Huawei uCDN
Hu Jianjun from Huawei Carrier Software Business Unit accepted the award at the event.

With the surge of HD and 4K video, over TByte per day content are created and delivered to the customer with high-quality experience. Subscribers’ demand for premium video experience pose even higher requirements on the concurrent processing capabilities and capacity scales of networks.

Traditional Silo CDN is difficult to manage various contents over the network. The market desperately needs a systematic and cost-effective solution which can well match the customer needs and adaptive the various content sources.

Huawei uCDN solution provides a unified and intelligent content distribution platform. Its convergent architecture supports diversified CDNs such as IPTV CDN, OTT CDN, Cable CDN, eMBMS, Internet Cache, Mobile CDN, and B2B CDN.

The Huawei uCDN solution has been widely deployed worldwide. And Huawei uCDN solution is NO.1 in market share referring to the published industry report in SNL Kagan “IPTV market leadership” and IHS / Infonetics “Broadcast-Streaming-Video-Mkt-Fcst-1st-Edition”.

Olashore International School Receives Osun State Award

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Olashore school

Olashore International School has been conferred with the award of Osun State Outstanding Secondary School of The Year 2016. This was awarded to the school recently by the Excellent Media South-West Nigeria Excellence Award at Osun –State.

Annually organised by a group of media in Osun State to include, Osun State Broadcasting Corporation (OSBC), Oshogbo, NTA Oshogbo, UniQ FM illesa, Gold FM illesa, Orisun FM Ile-Ife, and NTA Ile-Ife, Olashore International School was recognised for its impact and contributions towards improving the standard of education in Osun state.

Olashore International School is a learning community committed to academic excellence, nurturing each child to their full potential in a safe and serene environment, developing leaders for the dynamic global society in the 21st century.

Located at Illoko-Ijesha in Osun State, and established in 1994, on 60 acres of land, Olashore International School is a co-educational school which offers high quality education in a wide range of subjects at Junior Secondary and Senior Secondary along with a University Foundation Programme in partnership with Lancaster University and the Institute of Education, Dublin.

Over the past 20 years, the school has succeeded in developing a cluster of world class services around the school including a first class hotel, a golf course and a leadership training centre that all combine to give the school a unique identity.

The school is particularly appealing to discerning Nigerians at home and abroad, as well as expatriates residing in Nigeria, who desire a school with a strong value system, demonstrable track record and a clear sense of purpose.

ITU Telecom World Awards to Recognise Excellence in ICT Innovation

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ITU

Innovative ICT solutions with positive social impact will be recognized and rewarded at ITU Telecom World 2016, the leading UN global technology event taking place this year in Bangkok, Thailand, 14 -17 November 2016.

In its second year, the ITU Telecom World Awards programme builds on ITU’s unique status as the UN specialized agency for ICTs to celebrate and support the innovative use of ICTs in applications, tools and initiatives accelerating social and economic development around the world.

Award winners, whether small and medium enterprises (SMEs) or larger industry players, will benefit from international recognition, global visibility and unique networking opportunities to mobilize investment and create new business opportunities for ICT solutions with social impact.

Winners of the inaugural ITU Telecom World Entrepreneurship Awards 2015 will also be present in the forum and exhibition demonstrating how their businesses have grown and developed as a result of receiving the Award.

“ICTs are powerful catalysts in driving sustainable, inclusive socio-economic development and improving lives in developed and emerging markets alike,” said ITU Secretary-General Houlin Zhao.

“The ITU Telecom World Awards highlight best practices, share ideas and inspiration, and facilitate direct access to policy makers and private sector leaders at the highest level. ITU Telecom World provides the endorsement, support, visibility and connections needed to take promising ICT initiatives to scale, to grow business and develop potential for the good of us all.”

Open to anyone exhibiting or sponsoring at ITU Telecom World 2016, the Awards will be presented by the ITU Secretary-General at a high-profile ceremony in five categories:

Global SME Award for the most promising innovative solution from an SME
Host Country SME Award for the best and most innovative solution from Thailand, the event host
Thematic Award for the most promising innovative solutions with social impact from an SME or larger company working within a specific vertical sector, such as education, health or disaster communications
Partner Award – presented by ITU Telecom World partners to innovative ICT initiatives with positive social impact
Recognition of Excellence certificates for the best innovative SME within each National Pavilion at ITU Telecom World 2016

ITU Telecom World 2016 combines a global technology exhibition, a forum for sharing knowledge, and a networking hub for governments, established industry players and emerging SMEs, as well as the prestigious Awards programme.

It provides a unique international platform bringing together developed and emerging markets, public and private sector leaders, and industry representatives from across the entire ICT ecosystem.

World Bank Raises 2016 Oil Price Forecast to $41 Per Barrel

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Amid improving market sentiment and a weakening dollar, the World Bank is raising its 2016 forecast for crude oil prices to $41 per barrel from $37 per barrel in its latest Commodity Markets Outlook, as an oversupply in markets is expected to recede.

The crude oil market rebounded from a low of $25 per barrel in mid-January to $40 per barrel in April following production disruptions in Iraq and Nigeria and a decline in non-Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries production, mainly U.S. shale. A proposed production freeze by major producers failed to materialise at a meeting in mid-April.

“We expect slightly higher prices for energy commodities over the course of the year as markets rebalance after a period of oversupply,” said John Baffes, Senior Economist and lead author of the Commodities Markets Outlook. “Still, energy prices could fall further if OPEC increases production significantly and non-OPEC production does not fall as fast as expected.”

All main commodity indexes tracked by the World Bank are expected to decline in 2016 from the year before due to persistently elevated supplies, and in the case of industrial commodities – which include energy, metals, and agricultural raw materials — weak growth prospects in emerging market and developing economies.

Energy prices, including oil, natural gas and coal, are due to fall 19.3 percent in 2016 from the previous year, a more gradual drop than the 24.7 percent slide forecast in January. Non-energy commodities, such as metals and minerals, agriculture, and fertilizers, are due to decline 5.1 percent this year, a downward revision from the 3.7 percent drop forecast in January.

Metals prices are projected to fall 8.2 percent in the coming year, less than the 10.2 percent drop forecast in January, reflecting expectations of stronger demand growth by China. Agriculture prices are forecast to fall more than projected in January in what is expected to be another favorable harvest year for most grain and oilseed commodities. Agricultural commodities prices are also pulled down by lower energy costs.

Low commodity prices are undermining growth prospects for many resource-rich countries that experienced a surge in exploration, investment, and production during the commodities boom of the 2000s.

Countries that have borrowed and invested heavily in anticipation of faster growth may struggle to service their debt and sustain investment when growth disappoints as a result of lower commodity prices, a special feature of the Commodity Markets Outlook says.

With oil and metals prices today 50 percent to 70 percent lower than their early 2011 peaks, natural resource development projects have already been put on hold or delayed in several emerging and developing countries.

“These project delays can adversely affect countries that can ill-afford such setbacks,” said Ayhan Kose, Director of the World Bank’s Development Prospects Group.

“Greater transparency, improved government efficiency and improvements in macroeconomic frameworks could soften such disruptions. Countries may prefer to wait for prices to start rising again before launching new natural resource development initiatives.”

The World Bank’s Commodity Markets Outlook is published quarterly, in January, April, July and October. The report provides detailed market analysis for major commodity groups, including energy, metals, agriculture, precious metals and fertilisers.

Price forecasts to 2026 for 46 commodities are presented along with historical price data.

A.M. Best to Attend 43rd AIO Conference 2016

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A.M. Best will attend the 43rd African Insurance Organisation (AIO) Conference & General Assembly, to be held 8–11 May in Marrakech, Morocco.

The theme of this year’s conference is: “African Insurance amidst Current and Emerging Challenges.”

Nick Charteris-Black, Managing Director, Market Development; Dr. Edem Kuenyehia, Associate Director, Market Development & Communications; and Deniese Imoukhuede, Associate Director, Analytics will be in attendance at the conference.

The delegation from A.M. Best will be holding scheduled business meetings at the conference.

A.M. Best provides financial strength ratings, issuer credit ratings and issue ratings for insurers worldwide including ratings on a number of national and regional (re)insurers in the African Insurance Market.

Visitors to www.ambest.com/ratings can learn about Best’s Credit Ratings and read criteria reports explaining the rating process.

A.M. Best is the world’s oldest and most authoritative insurance rating and information source.

Banks Sabotaging e-Dividend Policy?

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Banks

When in 2015 the Securities and Exchange Commission launched its e-dividend platform, the Electronic Dividend Mandate Management System (E-DMMS), many Nigerians, particularly shareholders, were euphoric and commended the initiative.

Their reaction stemmed from the belief that sooner rather than later, the process of dividend payment will become streamlined and robust, allowing for speedy and easy access to declared cash and bonus dividends. With the new process in place, they hoped, the incidence of unclaimed dividends is expected to be solved permanently.

Shareholders were right to be euphoric. The SEC Director-General, Mounir Gwarzo, while unveiling the e-dividend platform in Lagos, had assured that “the era of stale dividends and huge unclaimed dividends in the market will be a thing of the past with the launch of e-dividend payment platform,” even as he expressed the determination to see to the “full implementation of the system to facilitate effective payment of dividends to investors.”

Indeed, the platform, among other benefits, was expected to help shareholders have direct access to their dividends devoid of the time-consuming and often costly process that characterises payments and receipt of dividends; it was also expected to reduce the incidence of unclaimed dividends, which, according to SEC, was in excess of N80 billion at the time of the launch; reduce the financial burden of dividend payments on registrars and the companies that incur costs in printing of warrants, postage, etc.; and allow investors to enjoy the Direct Cash Settlement module, whereby proceeds of share sales are paid directly into an investor’s account as against the old practice of routing payment via stockbrokers.

To underscore the importance and urgency of the switch to e-dividend, SEC had made registration free and Gwarzo had placed a 90-day timeline on free registration.

“We have agreed with all stakeholders that for the first 90 days, the registration on the platform would be free, subsequent to which registration would attract a fee of N100,” Gwarzo had said. The reasoning behind the 90-day free registration was the expectation that shareholders will take advantage of the window and register en masse.

No doubt, SEC deserves all the commendations for addressing the unclaimed dividend issue through the introduction of e-dividend.

Simplifying the dividend payment and collection process is truly a huge step in reducing the challenge of unclaimed dividend. The joy of equity investment is the ability to partake in a company’s profit via cash dividend.

Unfortunately, for far too long that has remained a problem for investors at the Nigerian stock market. The cumbersome dividend payment and receipt process has ensured a pile up of unclaimed dividends.

Considering the old costly system, one would expect that investors would rush to take advantage of the free registration period to get their dividend issues sorted out. That did not happen.

To ensure uptake, SEC began an e-dividend registration sensitisation campaign in January 2016, starting from Abuja to Lagos and Kaduna, and to move to other locations across the country. The campaign consists of road shows and town hall meetings.
The campaign has also not had the expected impact.

At the Q1 Post Capital Market Committee Meeting briefing in Lagos recently, Gwarzo revealed that only about 4,000 plus investors had so far registered in the five months since the sensitisation campaign broke.

It is no doubt a poor response considering that there are over four million investors in the market. SEC recently announced an extension of the free registration period by 150 days and promised to bear the cost of registration on behalf of investors who take advantage within that period.

Many wonder at the lukewarm response to an initiative that is clearly laudable and would be of benefit to investors.

A recent report by a national daily seemed to suggest sabotage.

According to the report, “SEC has evidence that some banks were charging as high as N1,050 to stamp and sign the e-dividend forms…” If the report is true, then the banks’ motives must be called to question. Gwarzo had talked about an agreement on free registration.

“We have agreed with all stakeholders,” including banks, no doubt, for registration to be free to ensure mass uptake.” The report equally indicted registrars, who are said to have been feeding fat from the old arrangement and are reluctant to let go.

In truth, such double-faced practice could easily derail the exercise and should not be condoned. If one has committed to doing something, integrity demands that it be carried through until a new arrangement is arrived at.

Banking demands the highest level of integrity and bankers have a moral duty to live by that standard. If they “agreed” to make registration free, then it has to be so.

However, that is half the story. It does appear that much as the SEC has done, it would need to do more or tweak its strategy a little to achieve better uptake.

Perhaps, Sir Sunny Nwosu, National Co-ordinator, Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria (ISAN), was right when he said the e-dividend policy is “still elitist to some shareholders” as they view “certificate as the only official evidence of having shares” much the same way they view paper warrant as evidence of payment.

A way around that is investor education and more education. It surely would help if SEC could identify some well known local investors, not shareholder group leaders like Nwosu, Boniface Okezie or Alhaji Gbadebo Olatokunbo, but ordinary shareholders that they could use as advocates or ambassadors.

What that does is that many skeptical investors may become convinced if a peer is the one giving his/her testimony of what e-dividend has done for him and not some leader or officious looking figure telling them what e-dividend can do for them.

The SEC can also work more closely with shareholders groups to boost e-dividend sign-on rate. Surely, the groups have a comprehensive register of members that SEC could exploit to ensure all members are e-dividend compliant. What SEC needs to do is to ensure, working with the groups’ leadership, that all members who have not registered are identified, provided with the forms and encouraged to complete and submit.

Stockbrokers are another portent group to exploit, since all equity investors must pass through a broker. Like shareholder groups, stockbrokers have a database of clients that could be exploited. The brokers can be encouraged to analyse their databases and identify clients that are not e-dividend compliant. These individuals could then be specifically targeted by the brokers to ensure they register.

Annual general meetings are another avenue for mass registration. Companies and their registrars could be encouraged to dedicate a table or section of the hall where the AGM is held for a fast tracked e-dividend registration. The AGM season is here and if this is planned right, a great number of investors could be registered in no time.

The e-dividend initiative may be stuttering, but there is no doubt that once it gathers steam, investors will enjoy an easy ride in terms of instant access to declared dividends, market transparency, confidence and invariably, better participation in equity trading.

– Blessing Ikeme

Sino-Nigerian Economic Integration: Deepening Trade and Capital Links

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Nigerian economy

The week-long visit of President Muhammadu Buhari to China between April 11th and 15th 2016 confirmed pre-conceived notions that the Presidency will be pursuing a non-allied foreign policy objective, as with previous administrations, by partnering with countries both in the East and West to achieve development objectives.

President Buhari’s predecessor, President Jonathan also made a similar visit to China in 2013 in which several infrastructure deals were signed but economic integration between the regions has mainly been defined in trade than finance and capital flows.

Between 2013 and February 2016, Nigeria received $213.4 million worth of capital inflows from mainland China, just 0.4% of $52.4 billion total capital importation into Nigeria within the period, ranking as the 18th largest source of foreign capital inflows into Nigeria.

Including the autonomous region of Hong Kong, total capital flows from People’s Republic of China was $484.2 million within the period, still less than 1.0% of total capital importation into Nigeria.

On the other hand, trade relations have been burgeoning with merchandise trade between the two countries estimated at $30.6 billion between 2013 and 2015, 8.5% of Nigeria’s total merchandise trade.

The Balance of Trade is however heavily tilted in favour of China; import from China was 7.8x Nigeria’s export ($3.5bn) within the period and China remains one of the few trading partners Nigeria still operates trade deficit with. 22.0% of Nigeria’s imports between 2012 and 2015 were from China while only 1.5% of exports went to China. Efforts to buoy capital integration has mainly been a unilateral objective of Nigeria.

The CBN over the past 5 years has built up its stock of external reserves denominated in Yuan from $101.3 million in 2011 to $2.2 billion (7.5% of gross reserves) as at Q1:2015.

Media sources also quoted Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun as saying the Federal Government is looking at the possibility of raising debt capital in the Renminbi to take advantage of the cheaper cost of borrowing.

Hence, market expectations that President Buhari would seek to boost capital links with China and seek better trade terms during his visit.

The outcome of the deliberations has been short on details but snippets we gathered from Press Statements of the Presidency and comments from officials indicated the following:

· Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) deals worth US$5.8 billion were negotiated between Nigerian private businesses & state governments with their Chinese counterparts. The sectors of interest include: power, solid minerals, road and rail transport infrastructure and housing.

NSE-largest Company by market capitalisation and Nigeria’s biggest cement manufacturer, Dangote Cement Plc, negotiated a $2.0 billion loan with the Industrial Commercial Bank of China Limited.

· A “currency deal” whose nature is yet clear is being negotiated. During a briefing at the spring meetings of the IMF/World Bank, the CBN Governor was quoted as saying the CBN is discussing with the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) on a currency swap and an agreement has been reached with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China to act as Nigeria’s agent (or clearing bank) when the swap transaction with the PBOC is concluded.

· A statement attributed to the Foreign Affairs Minister that the “currency deal” is not a swap created some confusions but a later update shared via the same Presidency source explained that the arrangement with the ICBC would let China and Nigeria trade directly in Yuan & Naira, which is partly in alignment with the CBN Governor’s earlier statement.

We think that the strong participation of private investors in the FDI and loan agreements sealed will improve the implementation rate relative to past bi-lateral investment engagements and could potentially boost capital importation from China and domestic infrastructure investment.

We are currently caught in-between the two positions taken by the CBN Governor and Minster of Foreign Affairs.

Whilst awaiting official clarifications, we think the “currency deal” could either be a conventional swap, in which the CBN and PBOC would exchange a stock of their currencies at a pre-determined exchange rate to be reversed at maturity of the swap line, or a move by the PBOC to boost Yuan-liquidity in Nigerian banks as a trade and investment currency in exchange for future assets transfer (probably oil) to China to liquidate the swap line.

Whilst we believe a “currency deal” with China is not an effective substitute for appropriate fiscal and monetary policy flexibility in adapting to the lower crude oil prices environment, we still view the development as positive as it could reduce the cost of transaction with Nigeria’s largest trading partner and also ease the immediate foreign currency challenges associated with Nigeria’s negative terms of trade.

Key risk to the downside is that the ease of transaction with a highly competitive country like China could worsen Nigeria’s trade balance and weaken domestic manufacturing capacity. We think this concern is justified and further emphasises the need to deepen domestic policies on improving competitiveness.

_Afrinvest Research

Oil Will Continue to Decline’—Schlumberger CEO

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schlumberger

The Chief executive of Schlumberger, Paal Kibsgaard says the recent little improvement in oil price will not stop the downward trend going forward.

Kibsgaard said:
During the first quarter of 2016, the decline in global activity and the rate of activity disruption reached unprecedented levels as the industry displayed clear signs of operating in a full-scale cash crisis. Budgeted E&P spend fell again and substantially affected our operating results. This environment is expected to continue deteriorating over the coming quarter given the magnitude and erratic nature of the disruptions in activity.

Kibsgaard further said recent surveys on exploration and production spending showed sharper declines than previously expected.

“In navigating this landscape, we remain focused on balancing market share against profitability while also working to best preserve the core capabilities of the company for the long term,” he said. “We will continue to tailor costs and resources to activity, while remaining cautious in adding back capacity given the unpredictable nature of the current market.”

The world’s largest oilfield-services company posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40, with a 63% year-on-year drop in net income, excluding charges and credits to $501 million.

Revenues fell 36% compared to last year to $6.52 billion.

Ingenico Deploys Cashless Revenue Collection Solution in Kenya

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Ingenico Group

Ingenico Group, the global leader in seamless payment, deployed, jointly with its local partner Tracom, a Revenue Collection solution in the County of Nyeri in Kenya.

This initiative was sponsored by Equity Bank and reinforces the emerging cashless-based culture by collecting County fees such as parking, land rates, business permits, market stall fees through electronic payment. Its benefits include stronger accountability for funds collected and effective cost reduction thanks to a fully electronic process.

People in Nyeri can now save time: instead of waiting in long queues, they can pay the County fees from the area of operations without wasting time commuting. In fact, County agents, equipped with Ingenico wireless smart terminals with a specific Revenue Collection application, can now simply collect payments when arriving at the business premises.

“We selected Ingenico Group and its local partner Tracom as they have shown a strong expertise in providing innovative solutions to strengthen cashless payment behaviors,” explained Andrew Wakahiu, General Manager-Agency Banking, Equity Bank.

“This Revenue Collection program has been successful because it relies on a technology that is both simple and secure. No more paperwork, complex processes or cash management issues in the agent network; it’s a real game changer for the County administration.”

Equity Bank, a leading regional banking institution, has partnered with Ingenico Group and Tracom for the past few years to deploy cashless programs in East Africa. This has been part of a global strategy which aims to deepen Financial Inclusion among the local population.

Equity Bank has been a pioneer in Branchless Banking where local merchants became trusted agents, offering the unbanked population a full banking portfolio (including account ownership and management as well as savings and credit) through a simple agency banking application on Ingenico iWL smart terminals.

“We are proud to be Equity Bank’s partner on this governmental programme,”commented Luciano Cavazzana, Eastern Europe & Africa Managing Director for Ingenico Group.

“We are demonstrating that our technology is not limited to traditional payment but is open to a wide range of new opportunities. Through this initiative, Tracom and Ingenico Group addressed administrative challenges by providing a quick and convenient fees collection solution to better anchor cashless habits in Kenyans’ daily lives.”

World Bank, UN, IMF Unite Against Illicit Financial Flows

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International Monetary Fund and World Bank announced on April 19, 2016, they have partnered with Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and United Nations (UN) to develop efficient tax systems to fight tax optimisation by multinational companies in developing countries, those in Africa included.

Details regarding the collaboration are not really clear given that each of the institutions involved often proposed different solutions to how to handle illicit financial flows. UN often opted for a more inclusive approach involving its state-members.

OECD for its part has developed a programme to combat tax optimisation (BEPS), but was criticised as it did not include developing countries.

Regarding the platform that was just launched, the institutions, which will meet three times a year, will provide by March 2018, tools to help developing countries fight tax evasion. Two of these tools are already ready, it thus remains seven. OECD highlighted that one of these tools, concerning information sharing, would be included in the platform.

World Bank’s participation in the platform will also require some compromises. According to a report published by Ngo Oxfam, on April 11, 2016, 51 out of the 68 firms that borrowed in 2015 from International Finance Corporation (IFC), to fund investments in Sub Saharan Africa, use tax havens. It should be recalled that IFC is World Bank’s arm specialising in loans to private sector.

“It doesn’t make sense for the World Bank Group to spend money encouraging companies to invest in ‘development’ while turning a blind eye to the fact that these companies could be cheating poor countries out of tax revenues that are needed to fight poverty and inequality,” said Oxfam’s Tax Policy Adviser, Susana Ruiz said. The World Bank has of course denied all these accusations.

–Idriss Linge