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Editors Decry Recurrent Expenditure in 2018 Budget

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The Nigerian Guild of Editors has expressed concern over the 2018 budget proposal currently before the National Assembly in terms of the size of the recurrent as against the capital expenditure. This trend,   which is inimical to any country’s development, has continued for so long.  We urge prudence and innovative budgeting in order to achieve a reversal in the nearest future.

On the state of the media, the Guild is worried that inspite of the country exiting economic recession, the media industry is mired in distress. We recommend that stakeholders should come together to seek the way forward.

In a communiqué issued after its Standing Committee Meeting in Katsina, the editors also worry over the threat by the Niger Delta Avengers to resume attacks on oil facilities in the oil-rich Niger Delta region.

The Guild calls on the Avengers to drop the threat and embrace dialogue in resolving their grievances.

The Guild also urges the Federal Government not to resort to the use of force in resolving the matter, stressing that the use of force has never solved any problem. As stakeholders in the task of nation-building, the Guild is worried by the recent show of military force in the quest to neutralise the threat of the militants. This move has done little to calm the tension, instead it has aggravated it. We urge caution and restraint.

The Guild urges the government to dialogue with all stakeholders, including the aggrieved militants to resolve the problems in the region, insisting that the only path to peace is dialogue. The Guild notes that renewed hostilities in the Niger Delta will reduce Nigeria’s daily oil output, which will in turn deny the country the benefits of the current marginal increase in the price of crude. Anything that’s capable of returning Nigeria to economic recession should be avoided.

We seize this opportunity to appeal to traditional rulers in the region to use their offices and goodwill to call the Avengers and any other militant group in the region to order. As royal fathers and leaders of thought, we urge them to play a leading role in the resolution of any breakdown in communication between the Federal Government, oil majors and the militants. We cannot afford another bout of force majeure by oil majors on account of insecurity in the region.

The Guild also notes the increasing crime rate in the country, especially kidnappings and communal clashes and calls on security agencies to rise to the occasion. The Guild urges the Federal Government to deploy the relevant security agencies to check the pervasiveness of these crimes.

The widening spread and growing frequency of kidnappings and allied criminal acts do not only threaten the nation’s socio-political stability, they also rob Nigeria of income as potential investors are scared of coming into the country while in some instances, existing investors are being forced to leave the country. Either way, the nation loses.

Senate to Empower AMCON for Better Operations

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L-R: Executive Directors, Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON), Mr. Kola Ayeye, Dr. Eberechukwu Uneze; Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Ahmed Kuru; Chairman Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance and other Financial Institutions, Senator Rafiu Adebayo Ibrahim and Mr. Aminu Ismail, AMCON Executive Director at the just concluded retreat of the Senate Committee at the NAF Conference Centre…Abuja.

The Chairman, Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance and other Financial Institutions, Senator Rafiu Adebayo Ibrahim, has disclosed plans by the 8th Senate to do everything it takes to empower the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON) realise the tough mandate given to them by the government and people of Nigeria.

The Senator who spoke yesterday at the opening of the Committee’s retreat at the NAF Conference Centre, Abuja stated that the Upper Chamber, as part of its oversight function, has decided that AMCON requires more support from the legislature if indeed Nigerians expect the Corporation to succeed in line with its sunset clause.

Reading from the keynote address he delivered at the commencement of the retreat titled, “AMCON as a catalyst for Economic Recovery,” Sen. Ibrahim said the upper chamber is intent on having serious discussions as soon as possible, which would AMCON further enhance its recovery mandate.

The Senator, who said there was no better time to redress the issue than now that the country is technically coming out of recession added, “Since inauguration, AMCON has been a key stabilizing and re-vitalizing tool in the Nigerian financial system and requires more support from the legislature to achieve its statutory objectives. This is the main reason why this retreat has been convened with the Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance and other Financial Institutions.

“In this retreat, we hope to make a case for AMCON to take on a larger and more proactive economic responsibility especially given its special place in the economy. To this end, serious conversation needs to occur on how best AMCON can intervene in the current economic situation of Nigeria beyond asset recovery.”

He further disclosed that the fall out of the discussion at the end of the retreat would lead to pronouncements from the 8th Senate, which would comprehensively empower AMCON to better carry out its functions. Again he affirmed, “…this subject of expanded functions presents an opportunity to further strengthen collaboration and align the objectives of AMCON to the pressing demands of the country.”

He stated that it was safe to say that AMCON has drawn from its proactive and interventional roots in a time of economic crisis for it to take on this new expanded economic role that transcends the banking sector, and seek to revitalize an entire economic system in recession.

He said the 8th Senate is heavily interested in the activities of AMCON because the leadership of the current Senate from inception conceptualized and mapped out its legislative agenda with economic recovery bill as top priority. According to him, such bills would help the country to raise credit availability and quality risk assets, which is in line with the job AMCON is doing for the nation.

While commending the Management of AMCON led by Mr. Ahmed Kuru, Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer, for the work done so far despite the challenges that confront them, Senator Ibrahim added, that all stakeholders should indeed support the Senate because the nation’s economy would be rebuilt as a result of key resolutions that would be adopted and decisions that would be made to empower AMCON.

Earlier in his address, Kuru reminded the Senate Committee that having fully harvested the low hanging fruits in the first and second stages of AMCON operations, the success or failure of the Corporation at this stage would be heavily dependent on the legislature as well as the judiciary because most obligors of AMCON are employing different antics in law to tie up the Corporation in different courts.

He stated that since AMCON is a creation of the Federal Government through the Act of the National Assembly, the Senate must find a way to encourage the judiciary to apply wisdom on AMCON related cases by focusing on substance rather the current diversionary tendencies that are stalling recoveries and destabilizing the Nigerian economy.

The AMCON CEO said, “There is need for a change of strategy. This job is not an easy assignment by any definition because every obligor has a perception of AMCON and is willing to tie us up in court. That is why you see that every week we have fresh enemies. Therefore we need very strong legislative framework, which would for instance make it possible for all AMCON cases to terminate at the Appeal Court.”

According to him, if the 8th Senate allows the current legal processes on AMCON-related cases to drag-on as it is presently, he said he does not see AMCON meeting its obligation before its sunset in the next five years.

Market Statistics: Thursday, 9th November 2017

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Market Cap (N’bn)

               12,823.4
Market Cap (US$’bn)                   41.9
NSE All-Share Index              37,051.54
Daily Performance % (0.2)
Week Performance % 0.5
YTD Performance %                  37.9
Daily Volume (Million)                  175.8
Daily Value (N’bn)                      3.5
Daily Value (US$’m)         11.5

DANCEM Drags Benchmark Index … NSE ASI down 24bps
The Nigerian Bourse bucked a 2-day consecutive gain as the All Share Index fell 24bps to close at 37,051.54 points whilst YTD return moderated to 37.9%. Similarly, market capitalisation lost N30.3bn to close at N12.8tn.

Today’s negative performance was consequent on profit taking in DANGCEM (-0.9%), ex-DANGCEM market would have closed 4bps northward. However, activity level was mixed as volume fell 9.2% to close at 175.8m units while value traded rose 94.9% to settle at N3.5bn

Mixed Sector Performance
Sector performance today stayed mixed as 3 of 5 indices under our coverage closed in the green, while 2 trended southwards. The Banking index (-0.3%) led losers against the backdrop of losses in ZENITH (-1.9%) and UBA (-1.0%) while a decline in DANGCEM (-0.9%) pulled the Industrial Goods index 0.5% lower.

On the contrary, the Oil & Gas index appreciated the most, up 1.2% on account of gains in MOBIL (+7.8%) and FORTE(+5.0%). The Insurance index trailed, gaining 0.3% due to price appreciation in CONTISURE (+4.4%). Similarly, an uptick in INTBREW (+8.4%) pushed the Consumer Goods index to close 0.1% higher.

Investor sentiment Remains Unchanged
Investor sentiment stayed flat today as market breadth (advancers/decliners ratio) closed at 0.9x relative to 0.9x recorded in the previous session. Leading the gainers’ chart were CAVERTON (+9.5%), INTBREW (+8.4%) and MOBIL (+7.8%) while LAWUNION (-4.6%), NPFMCRFBK (-4.6%) and FIDELITY (-4.1%) were today’s worst performers.

While we attribute today’s performance to profit taking in DANGCEM, the relatively unchanged market breadth suggests investors are still sourcing for bargains. Accordingly, we expect a positive close for the week.

Ericsson Report: 310m LTE Subscriptions in Sub-Saharan Africa by 2023

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  • LTE subscriptions will expand by 47 percent from 30 million in 2017 to 310 million by 2023 in Sub-Saharan Africa. 
  • Sub-Saharan Africa mobile broadband subscriptions are forecasted to grow by 16 percent from 350 million in 2017 to 880 million by 2023. 
  • The first 5G subscriptions in the Middle East and North Africa are expected from 2020, reaching around 17 million subscriptions by the end of 2023.

The latest regional appendix to the upcoming Ericsson Mobility Report forecasts that LTE subscriptions will expand by 47 percent from 30 million in 2017 to 310 million by 2023 in Sub-Saharan Africa.
The report also announces that mobile subscriptions in Sub-Saharan Africa are expected to grow by six percent, between 2017 and 2023, from 700 million mobile subscriptions in 2017 to 990 million subscriptions by 2023.
Moreover, mobile traffic in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) will increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 49 percent while mobile subscriptions for the total MEA region are expected to grow at four percent CAGR between 2017 and 2023, from 1.59 billion in 2017 to 2.03 billion by 2023. This equates to three percent growth in the Middle East and North Africa, from 890 million mobile subscriptions to 1.04 billion subscriptions between 2017 and 2023.
On the other hand, mobile broadband subscriptions are forecast to grow by 15% for the MEA region from 820 million in 2017 to 1.85 billion by 2023. This is broken down into a 13 percent increase for the Middle East and North Africa from 460 million mobile broadband subscriptions in 2017 to 980 million by 2023. Similarly, Sub-Saharan Africa mobile broadband subscriptions are forecasted to grow by 16 percent from 350 million in 2017 to 880 million by 2023.
When it comes to LTE subscriptions, the MEA region is expected to grow by 29 percent from 190 million to 860 million by 2023. This means that LTE subscriptions in the Middle East and North Africa will grow by 23 percent from 160 million in 2017 to 570 million by 2023. For the Sub-Saharan Africa region, LTE subscriptions will expand by 47 percent from 30 million in 2017 to 310 million by 2023.
Rafiah Ibrahim, Head of Ericsson Middle East and Africa, said: “Total mobile traffic for the region is forecasted to grow by around 49 percent annually between 2017 and 2023. This rapid growth is seeing operators increasingly exploring methods of optimizing their networks with more capacity and coverage. We are supporting operators across the region throughout the different phases of the network evolution, enabling best performing networks and differentiated customer experience.”
Finally, the report mentions that in the Middle East and North Africa, strong growth is forecasted for both WCDMA/HSPA and LTE during the period. Combined, these technologies will see a rise from 50 percent to over 90 percent of total subscriptions by the end of the period.
The first 5G subscriptions in the Middle East and North Africa are expected from 2020, reaching around 17 million subscriptions by the end of 2023.

Further highlights from the regional appendix of the Ericsson Mobility Report include:
The Internet of Things (IoT) is facilitating the digital transformation of industries, and providing mobile operators in the Middle East and Sub-Saharan Africa with opportunities to explore new revenue streams.
Cellular IoT subscriptions in the Middle East and Africa are expected to grow from 35 million to 159 million between 2017 and 2023 – a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 30 percent.

Exploring new digitalisation revenues 
For mobile service providers, traditional revenue sources are shrinking, and so new revenue streams are being explored. As the world becomes more connected, industries are experiencing an ICT-driven transformation. Industry digitalization revenues for ICT players come from adopting or integrating digital technologies into a specific industry. 5G-enabled industry digitalization revenues for IoT in the Middle East and Africa are predicted to reach $242 billion through 2026.
5G will be an important technology in growing industrial digitalization, particularly for use cases dependent on extra-low latency and high reliability. This presents an opportunity for service providers that are ready to explore smart revenue streams addressing B2B2X industry players.

IoT and 5G serving communities 
Even though IoT is still in its infancy throughout most parts of the Middle East and Africa, there are still examples of how it has helped improve the livelihood of communities and industries in the region.
For example, in South Africa, Narrowband-IoT (NB-IoT) is being introduced to address the utilities sector, enabling tools for energy efficiency such as smart meters.

The global edition of the Ericsson Mobility Report will be released later this month.

Orange Unveils Winners of 7th Social Entrepreneur Prize

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Yesterday, Orange announced the winners of the 7th Orange Social Entrepreneur Prize 2017 in Africa and the Middle East during the AfricaCom Awards in Cape Town, South Africa.
Each year this Prize rewards innovative projects based on Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) which help improve the living conditions of local people through digital, in fields such as education, healthcare, farming, mobile payments or sustainable development.
A new feature in this year’s 7th edition was a national phase during which each of Orange’s 17 subsidiaries [1] in Africa and the Middle East taking part in the contest studied the projects submitted in their country and appointed local winners. These 49 local winners were entered into the international contest.
Open from February to June 2017, the call for applications received nearly 1,200 innovative project entries, which was 60% more than 2016. These projects illustrate the diverse ideas from local entrepreneurs and the potential of ICT in the development of Africa and the Middle East. Amongst the 49 local winners, 11 projects were selected and submitted to a jury made up of professionals, investors, external organisations and Orange organisations.

The three winners will receive bursaries of €25,000, €15,000 and €10,000 and the Special Content Prize winner will receive €5,000. The finalists of the Orange Social Entrepreneur Prize will also enjoy priority support for six months from the NGO Grow Movement Orange experts.
Bruno Mettling, Deputy CEO of the Orange Group and Chairman and CEO of Orange MEA (Africa and the Middle East) stated that “The Orange Social Entrepreneur Prize is now a staple part of the entrepreneurial ecosystem in Africa and the Middle East. It is a great example of our contribution to digital transformation on the continent, a transformation which we would like to be inclusive and sustainable. Congratulations to these entrepreneurs and particularly the winners, I wish them every success in their professional endeavours. ”

The winning projects this year were:

1st prize was awarded to Manzer Partazer in Madagascar 
The objective of the Malagasy start-up is to reduce food waste by sharing excess food from restaurants, hotels or supermarkets with partner organisations such as orphanages and disadvantaged populations. A collaborative platform will allow direct communication between different stakeholders.

2nd prize was awarded to City Taps in Niger
CityTaps has developed a solution which bridges the gap between water services and the most disadvantaged citizens: a pre-payment service which includes a smart water meter and billing software.
The beneficiaries use their mobile to prepay for running water with any mobile phone, at any time, for any amount, which improves their household budget.

3rd prize was awarded to eFret.tn in Tunisia 
eFret.tn is a website based on the freight exchange principle. It links up senders, whether private individuals or companies, with transport and transit professionals in Tunisia. The senders publish adverts describing their needs and receive free quotations from carriers, movers, and international transport companies and customs forwarding agents.
Furthermore, this year a Special Content Prize was added, which was awarded by Orange Content.

The Special Orange Content Prize was awarded to: Génie Edu in Cameroon 
This is an e-learning platform which aims to help students having problems by providing online video courses. The startup wants every student, including those in remote areas, to have access to high-quality courses at a very low cost, anytime and anywhere.
Internet users were also invited to choose their “User Favourite” project. This project automatically qualified for the international final.
This was the Malgasy project, Majika which received over 2,800 votes out of 12,242 votes online. Majika is a social company aiming to facilitate economic development conditions in rural zones. It is based on two areas: access to renewable electricity and support for rural entrepreneurship. Majika works on an autonomous and ecological power plant in the village of Ampasindava.

Success stories from previous winners:

  • MedTrucks (2016) supports healthcare players with the deployment of smart trucks which use remote medicine to provide medical treatment in remote areas.
  • Bassita (2015) invents clickfunding: companies submit their social, cultural or environmental project on its platform. If it reaches its click target after being shared on social networks, the project obtains a donation from a sponsor.
  • Station Energy (2014), between a service station and African grocery store, provides access to energy via franchises on a large scale and at an affordable cost.

[1] Botswana, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Egypt, Guinea Bissau, Guinea Conakry, Madagascar, Mali, Morocco, Niger, Central African Republic, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Senegal, Tunisia, Jordan, Liberia and Burkina Faso.

Global Airlines Financial Monitor: October 2017

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China Southern Airline
  • The initial financial data for Q3 point to a healthy industry EBIT margin of 16.3%, down only slightly on a year ago. European airlines posted the widest profit margin on this occasion, overtaking their North American counterparts.
  • Having trended downwards between late-2014 and late-2016, underlying industry-wide passenger yields are now broadly unchanged from their level a year-ago.
  • Global airline share prices rose by 1.7% in October, driven by gains for European and Asia Pacific airlines. Airline shares have outperformed the broader market over the past year.
  • Oil prices rose through the US$60/bbl mark during October, amid signs that OPEC-led production cuts could be extended until end-2018, and rising tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
  • Passenger and freight volumes both grew robustly in year-on-year terms in September, although the seasonally-adjusted (SA) upward trends in both series eased between Q2 and Q3. The passenger load factor remains at an elevated level by historical standards, while the SA freight load factor is currently at a level last seen in late-2014.
  • There is a wide spread in premium-class performance at a route level, but the pick-up in global trade conditions is helping to support demand on some of the key markets to, from, and within Asia.

‘OML 29 Is Not For Sale’–Aiteo

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Below is an official statement from the Aiteo Group in respect of recent media reports on OML 29.

It has come to our notice that some fraudsters running a reports-for-cash syndicate, about whom we raised alarm so very recently, are suggesting that a portion of the shareholding of the company that holds the asset, OML 29 had been put up for sale to repay a loan.
For the avoidance of doubt, Aiteo has neither considered, initiated, nor announced the commencement of any plans to sell off ANY of its stake in OML 29. The reasons are patently clear.

First, since the takeover of the asset we have successfully quadrupled production that it would be commercially inept to consider a disposal of any sort, now. Second, there are several legitimate entities that constitute ownership of the oil block, such that it would be practically impossible for us to unilaterally consider disposing of the asset. As such, we urge the public to summarily disregard these unsavoury and fabricated reports in their entirety.
The claim that Bruce Burrows’ recent appointment as our Chief Financial Officer is aimed at finding a buyer for part of Aiteo’s assets is spurious and demonstrates that the publishers’ understanding of the commercial realities in the operation of assets such as OML 29 is shallow. All of our stakeholders familiar with our strategic vision can attest that Aiteo continues to invest in the right people to deliver on that vision. Mr. Burrows’ appointment is simply to further strengthen our financial discipline as one of the most innovative, reliable and diverse oil and gas companies operating in Nigeria today. Mr Burrows joins a team of highly trained, experienced and world-class talent that currently guide the day to day activities of Aiteo.
For the record, OML 29 was indisputably, legitimately and transparently secured in an internationally conducted divestment by the private entity, Shell. The funding of this acquisition was made possible through a syndicated loan involving several Nigerian banks. Since then, we have continued to meet our financial obligations as and when due, like every other responsible, global conglomerate of our stature.
Aiteo is professionally run with strong corporate governance practices very actively in place and within a structure that insulates the company from the vagaries that typify the Nigerian one-man entity. As we have repeatedly asked, we wish to be allowed to continue to prosecute the drive and vision that we have committedly pursued to place ourselves and the country at the cutting edge of the Oil Industry, worldwide. Those who seek to distract us from this objective will find that we will defend our position and integrity with the same application and commitment as we continue to demonstrate in the success we have achieved!

Kagame, Elumelu for Young Entrepreneurship Day at Africa 2017 Forum

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HE Paul Kagame, President of Rwanda and chairman of Smart Africa, and Tony Elumelu, Founder of the $100 million Entrepreneurship Programme, will be headlining the Young Entrepreneurship Day (YED) at the Africa 2017 Forum.
The YED is a new addition to the Forum and will take place on the eve of Africa 2017, on the 7th December. It has been designed to connect some of Africa’s most promising entrepreneurs and also give them exposure to investors, incubators and accelerators as well as to partake in workshops that will give them the skills and tools to scale up their businesses.
Both Kagame and Elumelu have been championing entrepreneurship and will be sharing their perspectives both from government and the private sector as well as engaging in an open platform with some of the upcoming leaders from across Africa
Sitting on the advisory board of the YED are Issam Chleuh and Rebecca Enonchong, two of the foremost players in impact investing and in the technology space in Africa as well as Parminder Vir, CEO of the Tony Elumelu Foundation.

Other speakers at the YED include Ben White of VC4Africa and Wale Ayeni from IFC Ventures, the venture capital wing of the World Bank’s private sector arm.
Commenting on the YED, the Minister of Investment and International Cooperation Dr. Sahar Nasr, whose ministry is organising the Africa 2017 programme alongside COMESA Regional Investment Agency, said that creating a pro-business environment for entrepreneurs to thrive is at the centre of her government’s policies.

“Egypt has been at the forefront of making entrepreneurship work. With a bustling population of 90 million, 50% of which are below the age of 30 and tech savvy, Egypt is rightly staking a claim as one of the fastest growing entrepreneurial hubs in the world.”
Africa 2017 has been earmarked as the biggest B2B and B2G gathering to take place in Africa this year. A number of heads of state have confirmed their attendance and there are 30 African investment promotion agencies and government delegations scheduled to attend.

Alongside President Al Sisi of Egypt and President Kagame of Rwanda, the Presidents of Côte d’Ivoire, Alassane Outtara will be in attendance as well as the President of Comoros, Azali Assoumani and the Prime Minister of Mozambique Carlos Agostinho do Rosário.

Some of Africa’s biggest names from business will also be attending Africa 2017, with the aim to accelerate cross-border investments and partnerships.
The Forum will also be a platform for Egypt to showcase some of the mega projects that are underway and the opportunities linked to these in agribusiness, logistics, mining, energy construction, real estate and tourism.

Ghanaian Real Estate on Spotlight in Nigeria

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All is set for the first ever Ghana Property Show in Nigeria, with a delegation of over 15 leading Ghanaian Real Estate Companies preparing to visit the country to showcase an impressive array of Ghanaian housing stock.
Announcing this event at a special press briefing in Lagos-Nigeria this week, Mr. Steve Ike CEO of BMJA Services- the event organizers, stated that the Ghana Property Show in Nigeria has been designed as a unique platform to showcase and market top Ghana-based real estate investment opportunities to interested Nigerian investors and non-resident Ghanaians alike.
On what informed the hosting of this event, Ike acknowledged that the Nigeria-Ghana trade and cultural relationship dates back several decades ago. “Nigerians and Ghanaians are known to share a great a deal of cultural, social and business relationship. For years, citizens of both countries have traded business and exchanged visits, so much so that many Nigerians have found a “second home” in Ghana and vice-versa”
“This property tradeshow has been long overdue and is now taking place due to overwhelming demand from the to the hundreds of Nigerian investors and Non-resident Ghanaians who are keen, willing and waiting to invest in Ghanaian real estate.
It is a known fact that Ghana is currently one of the most attractive African property investment destinations for the legion of avid real estate investors. The benefits of investing in Ghanaian real estate are numerous and include: a stable and rapidly growing economy, stable political climate favourable foreign investment environment, low taxation levels, solid and favourable returns on investment, a friendly people and environment, decent and improving basic infrastructures, remarkable ease of doing business, educated workforce and great food (I recommend waakye, kenkey and jollof”
The organizers of the event hope to use the event to promote deeper and broader economic, cultural and commercial relations between Ghana and Nigeria.
The Ghana Property Show in Nigeria will feature general discussions about the Ghanaian investment climate, the real estate industry, as well as related information on the culture, education and sundry socio-economic factors. At the event, guests can look forward to special and exclusive offers including immediate sign-up benefits, opportunity to arrange all-expensive paid trips to Ghana, and instant gifts.
Special guest speakers from both the Ghana High Commission in Nigeria and the counterpart Nigeria High Commission in Ghana, officials from the Trade & Investment ministries, the tourism board, as well as industry experts have been invited to make presentations and to provide answers to salient questions about investing in Ghana.
The array of property stock to be showcased at the event will include residential, commercial, retail, hotel/hospitality, and industrial properties. The coverage area where these properties are located extends from Accra, the Ghana Capital city, to Tema, Kumasi and other exciting locations.
Over 1,000 investors have already been confirmed to attend the event which would facilitate direct connections between participating companies and potential investors. The Ghana Property Show is scheduled for December 9, 2017 at the Federal Palace Hotel, Victoria Island, Lagos.

Market Statistics: Wednesday, 8th November 2017

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NSE
Market Cap (N’bn)                12,853.7
Market Cap (US$’bn)                   42.0
NSE All-Share Index              37,138.97
Daily Performance % 0.3
Week Performance % 0.7
YTD Performance %                  38.2
Daily Volume (Million)                  193.5
Daily Value (N’bn)                      1.8
Daily Value (US$’m)         5.9

Nigerian Equities Market Sustains Momentum… NSE ASI up 34bps
The Nigerian Equities market continued its positive performance today as the All Share Index gained 34bps to close at 37,138.97 points while YTD return expanded to 38.2%.

In turn, investors gained N43.4bn as market capitalization settled at N12.9tn. Today’s performance was buoyed by gains in DANGCEM (+0.9%), INTBREW (+10.2%) and FBNH (+1.7%). However, activity level softened as volume and value traded fell 36.6% and 37.8% to close at 193.5m units and N1.8bn respectively.

Mixed Sector Performance
Performance across sectors was mixed as 2 indices trended northwards, 2 closed in the red and the other flat. The Industrial Goods index emerged the top gainer, up 0.5% due to sustained buying interest in DANGCEM (+0.9%).

Likewise, the Consumer Goods index added 0.4% on account of gains in INTBREW (+10.2%) and NASCON (+3.0%). On the flip side, the Banking index lost 0.2% following profit taking in ZENITH (-0.9%) and ACCESS (-0.9%), while losses in LINKASSURE (-3.9%) dragged the Insurance index 0.1% lower. The Oil & Gas index closed flat.

Investor Sentiment Weakens
Investor sentiment weakened today as market breadth (advancers/decliners ratio) declined to 0.9x from 1.3x recorded in the previous session. Today’s best performing stocks were INTBREW (+10.2%), LEARNAFRICA (+5.0%) and CAVERTON (+5.0%) while the worst performers were UAC-PROP ( -4.7%), LAWUNION (-4.4%) and LINKASSURE (-3.9%).

Despite the weaker investor sentiment recorded today, market performance stayed positive in line with our expectations. We expect a rebound in sentiment in consequent trading sessions as investors continue to seek bargain opportunities in the market.

‘Information on Looted Funds Will Enhance 2018 Budget’

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President Buhari presenting the 2018 federal budget to the National Assembly in Abuja yesterday.

BudgIT, a civic society organisation says transparent information on looted funds from the federal government will enhance the non-oil revenue plan of the 2018 federal budget.

A statement on the budget by BudgIT reads in part:

BudgIT welcomes the relatively early presentation of the 2018 Budget and accepts that the economy requires significant fiscal injections to sustain and accelerate economic growth. Significant investment in infrastructure, education, agriculture among others are also important if Nigeria’s hope to diversify government revenue and export base is to be sustained.

Improvement in tax administration which the government hopes to push ahead within 2018 as highlighted in Mr. President’s budget presentation speech is also welcome.  Equally important is the need to end the cycle of poverty through some form of social intervention.

In all, the 2018 proposed budget of N8.6tn and its guiding framework captures a majority of the objectives and philosophy which scholars, researchers and economist are inclined to think about when the need for fiscal injections arises. The philosophy of the current government to spend big due to the relatively slow economic activities is welcome and clearly understood.

As such, the capital expenditure allocation of N2.42tn is huge in nominal terms when compared to previous budgets. Given that almost all capital expenditure allocation will be financed primarily by debts, we hope that the line items in the budget will reflect such.

Nigeria cannot continue to borrow to buy cars, computers, retrofit office buildings at the detriment of the critical mass needed to end the cycle of poverty and improve the economy. We hope the biggest proportion of capital allocation will go into improving infrastructure, expanding access to education, health among others.

Also, we believe the revenue projection of N6.6tn is very optimistic considering the total retained revenue of the federal government including non-oil and oil-related revenue in 2015 and 2016 was N2.8tn and N2.6tn respectively.

Federal government non-revenue in the first six months of 2017 stood at N587bn and no significant facts suggesting the figure would double or triple in approaching the new fiscal year. Oil revenue for the 2018 fiscal year is projected at N2.332tn while the biggest bracket of government expected revenue is projected to come from the non-oil sector at N4.16tn.

We accept that the budget benchmark is of $45 per barrel is within the band but there has to be excessive caution in keeping the peace of the Niger Delta which is a crucial element in ensuring optimal production.

Overall, the budget proposal will need proper interrogation from all stakeholders and analysis will be better when the line items are released to the public in a timely manner in line with the fiscal responsibility act which the president swore to uphold.

Also, given that the biggest proportion of government projected revenue will come from the non-oil sector, Government will need to be more transparent about government finances including releasing more information on actual recoveries from loot purported returned by former public officials.

About BudgIT

BudgIT is a civic organization that applies technology to intersect citizen engagement with institutional improvement, to facilitate societal change. A pioneer in the field of social advocacy melded with technology, BudgIT uses an array of tech tools to simplify the budget and matters of public spending for citizens, with the primary aim of raising the standard of transparency and accountability in government.

‘MTN Nigeria Will Not Go Public in April 2018’

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MTN

Despite the recent assurance from Mr. Rob Shuter, Group CEO of MTN that its Nigerian operation will enlist on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) in April 2018, a senior official says the company is still thinking through the process of going public in Nigeria due to the huge fine imposed on it by the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC).

The official told Business Journal in Lagos that the announcement of the April 2018 date was meant to deflect intense pressure on the company from the Nigerian government and the NCC.

He maintained that the company will possibly shift the date of going public as much as possible until the pressure on them wanes.

9mobile: Hanging in the Balance!

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9mobile
l-r: Vice President, Regulatory and Corporate Affairs, Ibrahim Dikko; Chief Executive Officer, Boye Olusanya; Chief Financial Officer, Funke Ighodaro and Vice President, Marketing, Adebisi Idowu all of 9mobile at the launch of 9mobile’s new brand identity.

When the curtain fell on Etisalat Nigeria in the middle of 2017 over a controversial loan of $1.2 billion from 13 banks, a new entity known as 9mobile rose from the ashes of the defunct Etisalat Nigeria. Today, the fate of 9mobile hangs in the balance as it hunts desperately for new investors to keep it afloat in the market.

For the fourth largest network operator in Nigeria, the journey from Etisalat Nigeria to 9mobile is better told in movies than reality.

The decision of the management to expand its network exponentially within a short time-frame led them into a $1.2 billion facility with a consortium of 13 Nigerian banks, leading to the eventual collapse of the Etisalat brand in the country.

9mobile
l-r: Vice President, Regulatory and Corporate Affairs, Ibrahim Dikko; Chief Executive Officer, Boye Olusanya; Chief Financial Officer, Funke Ighodaro and Vice President, Marketing, Adebisi Idowu all of 9mobile at the launch of 9mobile’s new brand identity.

As 9mobile wobbles in the market, putting its corporate future in doubt, the new management team decided to seek new investors who must acquire ‘assets and liabilities’ of the floundering operator. That decision has left the company with a deluge of serious and unserious bidders, just like hungry vultures hovering over a helpless, dying animal.

The Bidders

At the last count and still counting, 17 local and international firms have signified interest in form of Expression of Interest (EoI) to acquire in 9mobile.

These bidders include Dangote Group, Helios Towers, MTN Group, Vodacom, ntel, Airtel, Virgin Mobile, BUA Group, Morning Side Capital Partners, Africell, Obot Etiebet & Co., Tel-ology Holdings Limited, Ericsson, De-elim Services Limited, Veittel, AB-Bro Limited, Hamilton and George International Limited etc.

This long list of potential buyers does not inspire confidence in the future of 9mobile. Rather, it tells the story of a company on the throes of death and decay, with no viable plan of survival in the highly competitive mobile network market in Nigeria.

Industry analysts have worried that even if 9mobile is successfully sold off to any of the buyers angling for it at the moment, the prospect of turning the company around towards the path of survival, stability and growth in the foreseeable future would be a daunting task for the new owners.

Invariably, the future looks horribly bleak for 9mobile!

Emirates Enhances Nigeria Service, Special Dubai Fare

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emirates

Emirates has announced it will reinstate its second daily service to Lagos and resume operations to Nigeria’s capital city, Abuja, with four weekly flights from 15 December 2017.

Similar to the current daily service between Dubai and Lagos, the added frequencies to Lagos will be operated with Emirates’ Boeing 777-300ER aircraft, offering eight private suites in First Class, 42 lie-flat seats in Business Class and 310 spacious seats in Economy Class. The reinstated service to Abuja will be served by a 360-seat Boeing 777-300 in a three-class configuration.

However, Emirates will be offering Nigerian travellers the opportunity to visit Dubai with a special Economy and Business Class return airfare that includes a free third piece of luggage of up to 23 kg.

Under the special offer, an Economy Class ticket from Lagos to Dubai costs USD899 and Business Class USD3499. The fare offer is for a limited time only and tickets must be booked between 1st November and 17 November 2017.

Travel must take place between 1st November 2017 and 30 March 2018. The cost of the ticket includes airport taxes. Seasonality and blackout dates apply as well as other terms and conditions.

“Nigeria is a key market for Emirates and its importance is reflected by the fact that we will add 11 weekly flights between Dubai and two major cities in Nigeria, Abuja and Lagos. This is great news for both our business and leisure customers and highlights our commitment to providing travellers in Nigeria with not only the very latest in aircraft innovations but also increased connectivity,” said Orhan Abbas, Emirates Senior Vice President, Commercial Operations, Africa.

“We thank the Nigerian authorities for facilitating the reinstatement of our flights to Abuja and Lagos which will, in turn, greatly benefit Nigerian tourism, trade, investment and economy at large.” added Mr Abbas.

By operating a double daily service to Lagos and four weekly flights to Abuja, Emirates will offer travellers in Nigeria very convenient and comfortable access to Dubai, and onwards to other destinations on the Emirates network, including more than 35 destinations in the Middle East and Far East, 18 destinations in South Asia and over 20 destinations in the Americas and Australia. Many of these destinations are served by Emirates’ iconic A380 aircraft.

Apart from the increased passenger capacity, the new flights will provide up to 23 tonnes of cargo capacity per flight, giving businesses and traders more opportunities for increased imports such as electronic goods, construction equipment and pharmaceuticals, and exports such as fresh produce and perishables.

The added Lagos flight EK781 will depart Dubai every day at 0355hrs and arrive in Lagos at 0905hrs. The return flight EK782 will depart Lagos at 1240hrs and arrive in Dubai at 2255hrs. The Abuja flight EK785 will depart Dubai every Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday at 1035hrs and arrive in Abuja at 1535hrs.

The return flight EK786 will depart Abuja at 1855hrs and arrive in Dubai at 0435hrs the next day. The arrival of the flight in Dubai is conveniently timed to enable a shorter transit period for customers connecting to Emirates’ early morning flights to popular destinations such as New York, Houston, London, Beirut, Bangkok, Jeddah, Medina, Singapore, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Mumbai, Delhi and Sydney, amongst others, which are popular cities for Nigerian travellers.

Customers on Emirates can look forward to the famed on board service and hospitality from its multi-national cabin crew including Nigerians, as well as enjoy regionally and internationally inspired meals and complimentary beverages.

Passengers can also enjoy Emirates’ award winning ice entertainment system, offering up to 2500 channels of on demand movies, television programmes, music, audio books and music. Families with young children are also well catered for with special products and services to ensure a comfortable and enjoyable flight, from free toys to kid’s meals and entertainment, as well as priority boarding.

Emirates launched services to Nigeria on 2 January 2004 with four flights per week from Dubai to Lagos linked with Accra in Ghana, using an A330-200 aircraft. Just over a year later Emirates increased its services from four to six flights a week, and following further demand, it became a daily operation in October 2005.

On 1 January 2006, Lagos was delinked from Accra and became a direct service to Dubai. Emirates operated a second daily service to Lagos between February 2009 and June 2016 and daily flights to Abuja between August 2014 and October 2016. From 15 December 2017, Emirates will operate 18 weekly flights between Dubai and Nigeria.

Ease of Doing Business Report: 15 Years of Reforms to Improve Business Climate Worldwide

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WHAT IS “DOING BUSINESS”?

Doing Business is a project that provides objective measures of business regulations and their enforcement across 190 economies. It looks at domestic small and medium-size companies and measures the regulations applying to them through their life cycle.

By gathering and analyzing comprehensive quantitative data to compare business regulation environments across economies and over time, Doing Business encourages economies to compete towards more efficient regulation; offers measurable benchmarks for reform; and serves as a resource for policymakers, academics, journalists, private sector researchers and others interested in the business climate of each economy.

In addition, Doing Business offers detailed subnational reports, which exhaustively cover business regulation and reform in different cities and regions within a nation. These reports provide data on the ease of doing business, rank each location, and recommend reforms to improve performance in each of the indicator areas. Selected cities can compare their business regulations with other cities in the economy or region and with the 190 economies that the global Doing Business has ranked.

HOW IT ALL STARTED

Doing Business started from two developments in economic growth which happened simultaneously in the late 1980s and early 1990s, said Simeon Djankov, the creator of the Doing Business series and former Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance of Bulgaria.

One was exemplified by Peruvian economist, Hernando de Soto, known for his work on the informal economy and on the importance of business and property rights. In his book The Other Path, published in Spanish in 1989, de Soto makes the point that the prohibitively high cost of establishing a business in his home country of Peru, economic opportunities to the poor were denied. As a result, they end up operating outside the formal economy.

“That was one motivation of the observation,” Djankov added. “If you make it easier for business by simplifying laws and regulations, many more firms and entrepreneurs will switch to the formal sector.”

In the formal sector, he said, workers will have benefits like social security, pension and insurance coverage. At the same time, the government benefits because it will get taxes through which health and education budgets can be replenished.

Second, with the collapse of communism after the Berlin Wall fell in 1989, new questions ascended. Many countries in Eastern and Central Europe and the former Soviet Union were running the economy as a state-owned economy. As a result, they did not think about how do you actually establish laws and regulations for small domestic private business to develop.

“These two things came together,” Djankov said. “We then asked the question in the one case, how can you simplify regulation, and in the other case how can you create new regulations so that businesses can be formal and that new businesses can be established in the formal economy and they can be a large generator of jobs.”

At that point when Doing Business was being considered in the late 1990s in the World Bank, there was a big discussion about whether the private sector can generate jobs at all, or the private sector is actually for small tiny firms and it’s just the state sector generating jobs.

“At that time 20 years ago, having to make that point that yes, if the private sector has simplified regulations it can actually be a generator of jobs and innovation. So, we helped establish that literature.” He added.

The Doing Business report was then established with five sets of indicators for 133 economies.

TOP IMPROVERS IN 2017

Governments in 119 economies carried out 264 business reforms in the past year to create jobs, attract investment and become more competitive, says the World Bank Group’s latest Doing Business 2018: Reforming to Create Jobs report.

This year marks the 15th Doing Business report. Since the inception of the project in 2003, the global business regulatory environment has changed dramatically. Governments around the world have embraced and nurtured advances in information technology to reduce bureaucratic hurdles and increase transparency.

Today, in 65 of the 190 economies covered by Doing Business, entrepreneurs can complete at least one business incorporation procedure online, compared with only nine of the 145 economies measured in Doing Business 2004. Furthermore, in 32 economies it is now possible to initiate a commercial dispute online. This kind of progress can also be observed in the other areas measured by Doing Business.

Marking its 15th anniversary, the report notes that 3,188 business reforms have been carried out since it began monitoring the ease of doing business for domestic small and medium enterprises around the world.

“Job creation is one of the transformational gains that countries and communities can achieve when the private sector is allowed to flourish. Fair, efficient and transparent rules, which Doing Business promotes, improve governance and tackle corruption,” said World Bank Chief Executive Officer Kristalina Georgieva.

Developing countries carried out 206 reforms, accounting for 78 percent of the total reforms, with Sub-Saharan Africa implementing 83 reforms, a record for a second consecutive year for the region, and South Asia implementing a record 20 reforms. A large number of reforms centered on improving access to credit and registering a new business, with 38 reforms each, as well as facilitating cross border trade, with 33 reforms.

In its annual ease of doing business rankings, New Zealand, Singapore and Denmark retained their first, second and third spots, respectively, followed by Republic of Korea; Hong Kong SAR, China; United States; United Kingdom; Norway; Georgia; and Sweden.

This year’s top 10 improvers, based on reforms undertaken, are Brunei Darussalam (for a second consecutive year); Thailand; Malawi; Kosovo; India; Uzbekistan; Zambia; Nigeria; Djibouti; and El Salvador. For the first time, the group of top 10 improvers includes economies of all income levels and sizes, with half being top improvers for the first time – El Salvador, India, Malawi, Nigeria, and Thailand.

“As we celebrate the 15th anniversary of Doing Business, it is particularly gratifying to see that many of the reforms are being carried out in economies and sectors where they are most needed. We look forward to continuing to shine a light on the real hurdles faced by entrepreneurs, both women and men, and celebrating policy change successes,” said Rita Ramalho, Acting Director of the World Bank’s Global Indicators Group, which produces the report.

WHERE IS BUSINESS REGULATION BETTER?

Although the economies with the most business friendly regulation in this year’s ease of doing business ranking are relatively diverse, the economies within the top 20 share some common features. Thirteen of the top 20 are OECD high-income economies; four are from Europe and Central Asia and three from East Asia and the Pacific. Eighteen of the top 20 are classified as high-income economies.

BUSINESS REGULATION IMPACT ON EMPLOYMENT AND POVERTY

Many factors explain poverty. These can include vulnerability to natural disasters, remoteness and quality of governance etc. Reforming in the areas measured by Doing Business can be particularly beneficial to employment creation when those reforms take place in the areas of starting a business and labor market regulation.

Across economies there is a significant positive association between employment growth and the distance to frontier score. While this result shows an association, and cannot be interpreted in a causal fashion, it is reassuring to see that economies with better business regulation, as measured by Doing Business, also tend to be the economies that are creating more job opportunities.

When it comes to unemployment, the expected opposite result is evident. Economies with less streamlined business regulation are those with higher levels of unemployment on average.

LIKE THE “WORLD CUP”

Throughout the 15 years of Doing Business, Djankov said that the biggest impact is that countries would compete on it. “That’s a component that in a way that most of our analytical and theoretical work we hadn’t thought of.”

He added that in addition to good policy, once you start ranking countries and comparing them, natural competition like a “World Cup” or the “Olympics” comes about.